On the timing of Gardner's resignation

[Editor's note: On the discussion regarding Dan Gardner's resignation as labor commissioner, a question was asked regarding the timing of the resignation - coming just one day after filing day. Gardner's predecessor, Jack Roberts (a Republican), posted an insightful comment.]

It does make a difference, but I'm not sure it's to anyone's advantage one way or another.

If Gardner had announced Tuesday or earlier, candidates wishing to run to fill the vacancy would have had to file Tuesday. If more than two candidates had filed, they would have been on the May ballot, with the top two running off in November if no one got a majority of the vote. If only one or two candidates had filed, that candidate or both candidates would be on the ballot in November only.

By waiting until after Tuesday to resign, now candidates to fill the vacancy have until August 28th to file and all the candidates will be on the November ballot, with a simple plurality all that is needed to win.

Perhaps more significantly, waiting also gives the Governor time to pick Gardner's replacement, who presumably would run for the election this fall as the incumbent. If Gardner had announced, say, on Monday, no one would probably have known who the governor was likely to appoint and hence it would be a more "open" but also a more rushed process.

Since Gardner was considering running for the 5th Congressional District just a few weeks ago, I think its fair to say that this probably wasn't something that has been in the works for a long time and that he has just kept under wraps until the filing deadline passed. Although the timing looks a little contrived on the surface, I think Dan probably did the right thing by not announcing just before the primary filing deadline and thus setting off a hurried rush by prospective candidates to see who would run.

This way, while the Governor gets to set someone up with the advantage of incumbency, it also gives other interested parties an opportunity to check their potential support and deciding whether they really want to make the race (or even want the job) before deciding to file. All things considered, I think this is a better result than if Dan had resigned just before the filing deadline.

Now if it turns out that this was something that had been arranged weeks or months ago and simply kept quiet in order to manipulate the process, that would be a different story. But I am willing to give Dan the benefit of the doubt, and like others wish him the best.

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    That's a very helpful way of thinking about it.

    Thank you!

  • Steve (unverified)
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    What a pop stand of a state! Anything to make sure Teddy K gets to pick who goes into elected office by eliminating any competiton. GOd forbid we should have new blood in government.

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    Uh, Steve? One more time. The Governor would get to make an appointment regardless of when Gardner resigned this year. And there's going to be an election this year -- two years before it would have been scheduled.

    Seriously. Read the post before you comment.

  • Justin (unverified)
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    I am willing to give Mr. Gardner the benefit of the doubt and it seems like he only left his position because a job more to his liking opened up. It is slightly cynical for us to begin to guess Mr. Gardner's motives already and I sincerely believe they are good ones for leaving his position. It is a rare day when I agree with Mr. Chisholm, but since this day is upon us, let us see who Gov K puts into that position. And seriously, read before you post.

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    Gee, thanks for ruining my reputation by running this as a "notable comment" on BlueOregon. :-)

    Seriously, it now appears we know a little bit more about the timing of this. Since Dan Gardner isn't actually leaving until April 7th, it turns out the timing of the announcement itself wouldn't have affected the election of his replacement. By announcing it now, however, he gives Brad Avakian a chance to drop out of the Secretary of State race (which he has to do by the end of the week in order not to appear on the May ballot )and instead be appointed labor commissioner, then run for election in November.

    I don't know if this makes the other secretary of state candidates happy or unhappy, but personally I think Brad is a good choice to replace Dan. So I still have no complaint.

  • Chuck Butcher (unverified)
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    A gracious and well reasoned Post Mr Roberts, I am sure your reputation can be repaired at another date, somewhere else. (if you wish that) </joke

  • Genie Uebelacker (unverified)
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    Just a note to wish Dan the best of luck in his new job. We will miss him, but judging from his great performance as Labor Secretary, as well as his previous outstanding work in the House of Representatives )he will obviously be an asset for Oregon and the IBEW in DC.

  • Dan Gardner (unverified)
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    Thanks for the interest and well wishes. The date of announcing makes no difference. Its the effective date of the resignation. Which is April 7th. Since it is less than 61 days prior to the primary it cant be on the primary ballot.

    The offer of the job, decision to do it and announcement happened within less than a week. And none of it was any wierd master plan. The combination is mearly coincidence.

    Kari I still plan to read blue Oregon even when im in DC.

    Dan Gardner (and yes it realy me)

  • Robert G. Gourley (unverified)
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    That seems to be the final word on the matter.

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