Signatures turned in for fall ballot measures
Kari Chisholm
Friday at 5 p.m. was the deadline for initiative sponsors to turn in signatures for ballot measures on the November 2010 ballot. Here's the rundown of the six measures that will go forward for signature verification:
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Another Kevin Mannix minimum-sentencing measure, this time on sex crimes and drunk driving (full text pdf). They'd previously turned in 94,870 raw signatures and had 66,716 validated (70%). Friday, they turned in another 47,471 raw sigs. They need a total of 82,769 valid signatures. Provided that the valid rate on the new batch is at least 34%, they'll make the ballot.
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Medical-marijuana dispensaries (full text pdf). They'd previously turned in 109,843 raw signatures and had 74,537 validated (67%). Friday, they turned in another 22,390 raw sigs. They need a total of 82,769 valid signatures. Provided that the valid rate on the new batch is at least 37%, they'll make the ballot.
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Nonpartisan redistricting commission (full text pdf). They turned in 125,948 raw sigs. Since it's a constitutional amendment, they'll neeed 110,358 valid. In order to make the ballot, they'll need to have a valid rate of 87.6% - a tall order. I'm skeptical that they'll make it (unless they did something unusual, like pre-screening their signatures.)
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Lottery funding for water, parks, and wildlife (full text pdf). This measure would renew the 1998 measure that dedicated lottery funds to state parks and habitat restoration. They'll also need 110,358 valid sigs - and they turned in 192,678. As long as the valid rate is over 57.2%, they should easily make the ballot. WW recently reported on some tough discussions between the environmental community and organized labor.
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And finally, the two measures - one constitutional (pdf) and one statutory (pdf) - that would legalize a single privately-owned casino in east Multnomah County and create a gaming tax of 25% of gross revenues for education, state police, and local governments across the state. The constitutional amendment picked up 176,566 raw sigs - and will need at least a 62.6% valid rate to make it. The statutory measure picked up 136,938 and will need at least a 60.5% valid rate. Both measures should handily make the ballot.
Discuss!
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11:21 a.m.
Jul 3, '10
Thanks for this update, Kari.
4:20 p.m.
Jul 3, '10
What is typical % of good signatures?
8:01 p.m.
Jul 6, '10
John not sure if Kari will reply here, but I believe the percentage depends on the group doing the collecting.
Groups outsourcing their collections to paid gatherers get a lower percentage. And the percentages depend a lot on how well you train your gatherers.
I don't know the typical percentages but could track it down. The whole signature verification process is a cool statistical / sampling problem that one of my colleagues worked on.
9:57 a.m.
Jul 4, '10
Thanks Kari, I hope that all make it to the ballot. Right now my thoughts are:
Minimum sentencing - No Medical Marijuana - Maybe Nonpartisan redistriting - Yes Lottery funding - No Private casino- Probably Not
10:38 a.m.
Jul 5, '10
Oh boy.. more prisons, paid for by education and health care funds.
6:14 a.m.
Jul 6, '10
Bill don't forget gambling dollars. This way we can cut taxes again in preparation for the next recession!
9:18 a.m.
Jul 6, '10
I dream of a day when the Left decides that dishonesty about medical science is not seen as a useful bridge toward sane drug policy.
Of course the dilemma is compounded by the fact that virtually all elected officials know the science of marijuana, but will never ever do the right thing and advocate for legalization and taxation, despite the fact that such actions would help significantly in reducing our current state budget crisis.
12:45 p.m.
Jul 6, '10
Pat, I'd love to see you expand on those comments.
Reading between the lines, I think you're arguing that a) marijuana as a medical therapy is nonsense, and b) it should be legalized anyway.
Discuss!
10:25 a.m.
Jul 25, '10
dishonesty about medical science? that is the feds, not the medical cannabis community. Instead of telling us we are lying (when we know we are not) you could use a fairly large group of current OMMP patients to actually study the issue and how it works.
I suggest you will find that:
medical cannabis reduces or eliminates the need for narcotics for pain relief
medical cannabis improves the quality of life for thousands of Oregonians
it has NO LETHAL DOSE
it works
it saves money it generates money
and it works for a bunch of your fellow Oregonians. I am one of them. My doc has a license to practice medicine in Oregon. He and over 3,000 Oregon licensed physicians have signed for their patients.
I think you need to study the issue before you go telling folks there is no medical benefit to medical cannabis.