On global warming, Kulongoski leads

Five Western States - Washington, Oregon, California, Arizona, and New Mexico - have agreed to work together to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions. From the Statesman-Journal:

Initiated by Gov. Ted Kulongoski, five Western states are collaborating to reduce global warming pollution -- citing declining snowpacks and severe forest fires as climate change problems unique to the West.

Under the Western Regional Climate Action Initiative -- signed Monday by the governors of Oregon, California, Washington, New Mexico and Arizona -- the five states will adopt goals for reduced levels of greenhouse gas pollution.

"Our regional strategy will deliver a cleaner environment and healthier economy," Kulongoski said. "It also sends a message to Congress and the White House that if they fail to enact policies at the national level to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and do our nation's part to combat global warming -- that states will do it on our own."

Is this group of states really big enough to make a difference?

If the five western states involved in this agreement were one nation, it would be the sixth or seventh largest emitter of carbon in the world, said David Van't Hof, the governor's sustainability advisor.

How will it work? From the Oregonian:

To start out, the states will set goals for slowing the growth of greenhouse gas emissions and then cutting them back. Then, within 18 months, they will establish a strategy for reducing the emissions.

One option is a cap-and-trade system that limits carbon dioxide released as electricity is generated. It would require utilities that sell electricity in Oregon, for instance, to control the resulting carbon dioxide. If they cannot control it, they might instead buy credits from those that do. Utilities could also fund programs to offset their emissions by planting trees to soak up the gases, for example.

Emissions limits would probably also extend to vehicles in some form, since they produce about a third of carbon dioxide released nationwide. Oregon has already adopted stricter tailpipe standards that reduce vehicle pollution and emissions.

Governor Kulongoski also points out that Oregon could be a big economic winner under this system:

By driving up the price of fossil-fuel based power plants, the strategy could shift more efforts toward the development of renewable energy from the sun, wind and waves. "It is also a huge economic development opportunity, particularly for those states who are most aggressive in leading the charge toward a clean energy future," Kulongoski said.

Discuss.

  • spicey (unverified)
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    Utilities could also fund programs to offset their emissions by planting trees to soak up the gases, for example

    I keep wondering why there hasn't been a massive tree-planting effort undertaken in this country yet. I imagine us planting a million new trees a year, anywhere and everywhere possible. If this would be a good thing according to this program outlined above, it would be a good thing to start now, everywhere. So, I say, plant trees! one of these days I'll get around to starting onemilliontreesayear.com .org Friends of Trees/Portland Parks and Rec - anything you can do to speed up the process? Planting street trees at $75 a pop - it will take a long long time to get Portland's tree canopy filled in...

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    That could be a great youth-oriented kind of program. I remember planting a bunch of little seedlings when I was like 12 years old as a scout.

    It's a great opportunity to learn something and do some good, too.

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    Kudos to Gov. Kulongoski (and the governors of the other Western states) for stepping up where the Bush administration has feared to tread. One thing about banding together like this is that it's much easier to change markets and manufacturer behavior. For example, I can imagine car companies re-tooling to provide cleaner cars for this large Western market, instead of boycotting the regulations of just one state.

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    I'm glad someone got this news up--it needed an "in the news" post. It's fantastic news! A coupla comments worth highlighting:

    1. Kulongoski, who labored under the "not nearly progressive enought" tag throughout the last election, is taking a national lead on global warming, the key progressive issue for the 21st Century. Kudos are in order.

    2. The opportunities are far greater than a shift renewable energy sources. New technologies flourish during change, and by taking the lead on curbing emissions, the Western states will create an environment of change. I'd love to see further steps to encourage innovation in new technologies and adoption of existing innovative tech, like biodiesel.

    Here's hoping Kulongoski is ushering in the next age of Oregon-based innovative solutions to serious public policy issues.

  • spicey (unverified)
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    agreed, Jeff, this is great news.

  • Scott (unverified)
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    While the intent might be good, this appears to be loaded with unintended consequences.

    Obviously, the person that bears to brunt of all of these costs are the end consumer here in Oregon. Businesses do not pay taxes, they just pass them on in the form of price increases. For those of us earning six figure incomes, this is manageable. For the vast majority of the voting public that is not in this category, disposable income will take another big hit.

    The big winners will be the utilities. Can you picture the big smile on their faces when someone like Scottish Power realizes they can just shut down an inefficient power plant and sell the un-used carbon output to a growing business that needs it, for a profit! The shut-down reduces the amount of power coming into the market and thus ends up raising the price further (you know, that old supply/demand thing), thus costing the average voter more money. The business that was considering an expansion will now more likely look to build the new capacity somewhere else.

    As for the car companies, sure, they'll build more Prius type cars, and laugh all the way to the bank. But without a big Gov't subsidy, will anyone actually want one? The Geo Metro, produced by GM over a decade ago, got better mileage than the Prius and it now sits in the dust pile.

    Why don't we just plant lots of trees? Isn't that better all the way around than forcing costs down to those that can least afford them:

    1) Smokers (vis cig tax) 2) Drivers (those that must drive to work in order to feed their family)

    Carbon taxes, cap & trade, etc., is very regressive.

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    Carbon taxes, cap & trade, etc., is very regressive.

    OK, so suggest an alternative -- and more than "plant lots of trees".

  • Scott in Damascus (unverified)
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    As for the car companies, sure, they'll build more Prius type cars, and laugh all the way to the bank. But without a big Gov't subsidy, will anyone actually want one?

    Why don't you ask Toyota? They are converting ALL of their cars to offer both standard and hybrid engines. Also look at their P&L as compared to GM, Ford, and Chrysler who are all losing money hand over fist.

    Can you imagine what Saxton's plan would be had he been elected governor? "Do nothing" and/or "let the Feds handle it" after another round of tax breaks to the poor, mistreated gas companies.

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    Last night The News Hour did a piece on the buyout of TXU, a large Texas oil company that is the Bete Noir or Enviros, to a couple of private investment firms.

    Two large Enviro activist outfits got a seat at the table and got some major consessions re coal fired plants and consumer conservation initiatives.

    This, coupled with the recent Enviro feeding frenzy at Davos leads me to believe that we are at a tipping point where the Corporatists will have a vested finacial interest in pushing the Green agenda beyond painting service stations green and running ads with brightly colored seashells.

    Once they get Madison Avenue cranking out pro-green propaganda, we might see a common cause with these bastards, and once the Big Donors start funding actual enviro candidates, it'll be Jenny Bar the Door.

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    As for Teddy K, He was talking this up in the election cycle so I'm gratified but not surprised that he is following through. Politics aside, he has a pretty good record of walking his talk.

  • Bert S. (unverified)
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    Scott said: "Why don't we just plant lots of trees? Isn't that better all the way around than forcing costs down to those that can least afford them:"

    Scott, you may benefit from not necessarily looking at tax policy soley through isolated components. Some elements of tax policy can be specific so as to discourage certain behaviors (e.g. incentives to plant trees, discourage smoking, discourage consumption of fossil fuels). Other elements of tax policy can be redistributive. E.G. social security, earned income tax payments, etc.

    You could judge the tax system as a whole to see how fair or progressive it is.

  • pedro (unverified)
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    "I keep wondering why there hasn't been a massive tree-planting effort undertaken in this country yet."

    trees are great, tree planting is awesome, we should definitely embark on a massive tree planting effort. however, tree planing as effective carbon offset? outside of the tropics, and urban areas? probably not so effective.

    without getting to deep into the details, the basic issue is "albedo". heat reflectivity. dark green trees absorb a lot of heat, likely enough to neutralize their other positive effects (absorbing carbon, increasing cloudiness, etc). so planting new trees over grasslands and such will have a negligible effect.

    of course, here in the northwest, one promising effect of this regional partnership regarding trees that has me pretty excited is that they may have more value--especially the older ones--left standing then chopped down for timber. there may also be more incentive to reforest clear cuts. it's is not so much that the logging industry would be negatively effected, it's just that landowners would have the option to sell their carbon credits for money, providing them revenue sources other than lumber, and development. this is a very good thing! of course, trees left standing have much more economic value than just their carbon offset (just ask the salmon, or last novembers flood victims), but this is a great start.

    ps - way to go kulo!

  • TR (unverified)
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    So is Gov Ted going to set an example by replacing his personal transportation with an itty bitty mini-car and dump the big state provided Lincoln he travels in from the Governor’s Residence to the State Capital Building and around the state? Is he going to dump the full sized SUV that often accompanies the Lincoln? Is he also going to set an example by moving into smaller more energy efficient digs closer to and within walking distance of his office? Or is Gov Ted just providing lip service to the rest of the state and not walking his own talk?

  • Garlynn (unverified)
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    Spicey said: "So, I say, plant trees! one of these days I'll get around to starting onemilliontreesayear.com .org Friends of Trees/Portland Parks and Rec - anything you can do to speed up the process? Planting street trees at $75 a pop - it will take a long long time to get Portland's tree canopy filled in..."

    Actually, Portland (the five-county region, that is) undertook a massive tree-planting program in the 1990s, partially funded by PGE (as I recall) as mitigation for the new natural gas power plant that their built in Boardman at that time. The effort resulted in 150,000+ new trees in Portland over the course of the effort. It included sophisticated GIS analyses to determine which streets already had good tree coverage, and which needed more, to target the planting efforts.

    More info on the effort, which was called Seed The Future, at the press release following the conclusion of the program in 2001:

    http://www.friendsoftrees.org/about/press_detail.php?id=4

    A similar effort would be a good thing to offer to corporations as another option for purchase under the cap-and-trade system, IMHO.

  • oregonj (unverified)
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    The train is well underway to help Oregon join the rest of the world in confronting global warming. The Governor kicked it off in 2004 in a big way with his own intitative - now it has been joined in a regional signed MOU yesterday - Oregon hass committed to join WA,CA,NM,and AZ in a five state regional carbon market with real greenhouse reduction objectives for each state to be back to at 1990 emission levels by 2020 - these 5 states together are the 6th largest emitting "nation" on the planet.

    The Governor and others have a slew of important global warming bills moving through the Legislature. The action is NOW in Salem to put Oregon on the path to achieving global warming solutions:

    SB 373 Renewable Energy Standard SB 87 Improve the Energy Trust funding process HB 2621 One percent solar in govt bldg projects SB 375 Energy efficiency standards for 7 appliances HB 2211-2212 Expannd energy tax credits SB 576 Energy efficiency/green bldg standards for gov't bldgs

    These bills are all moving through the Legislature right now. Get involved.

  • Orygunner (unverified)
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    Good for Gov K, makes me glad I voted for him (twice). We certainly can't wait for the feds to get off their duffs. British Columbia is also setting some ambitious GHG emission reduction goals. It's good to see progress on this issue, however modest and late coming.

    That said, I would like to see more specifics. Biofuels and tree-planting are stop gap measures at best. What we need to do, all of us, is power down as much as possible. It's up to all of us to effect change in this area--can't leave it up to the government.

    And Jeff Alworth mentioned something about GW being a "progressive" issue. I would really encourage people not to frame this as a partisan issue. This is something that absolutely needs to be non-partisan. There will be no real progress on this issue if both sides of the aisle don't agree on the broad outlines. To frame it as a "progressive" issue is to lump it in with all the other "progressive" issues (abortion, gun control, etc.), which will only delay action on this, the most pressing issue of our generation, even further.

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    And Jeff Alworth mentioned something about GW being a "progressive" issue. I would really encourage people not to frame this as a partisan issue. This is something that absolutely needs to be non-partisan.

    I'm with you there, but progressive and nonpartisan aren't mutually exclusive. The great progressive gains of the 70s in Oregon (land use, beach designation, bottle bill, etc) were definitely progressive, but they weren't partisan. It will take all hands on deck to get this done, and I'd be delighted to support any Republican who is leading the charge. Or Independent. Whatever; let's just do it.

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    The Geo Metro, produced by GM over a decade ago, got better mileage than the Prius and it now sits in the dust pile.

    EPA mileage estimates:

    1997 Geo Metro (the most fuel efficient 3-cylinder model, not the more common 4-cylinder): 49 hwy, 44 city, 46 combined.

    2007 Toyota Prius: 51 hwy, 60 city, 55 combined.

    The feds have a very nice website at www.fueleconomy.gov where I got this info. A particularly useful feature is that you can do side-by-side comparisons of different models and years. That's a nice tool for a used-car shopper.

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