Talking about Oregon for Daily Kos

Kari Chisholm FacebookTwitterWebsite

The editors at Daily Kos asked me to write an introduction to Oregon politics, and a brief overview of the 2008 campaign season - and it was front-paged earlier today. I've reposted it here for your amusement, though you should certainly feel free to chime in on the conversation at Kos.

Oregon can be a political conundrum. Outside the state, we've got a reputation as a liberal haven, loaded with those latte-loving, sushi-eating, mountain-biking, Prius-driving, soccer-loving, secular hedonists that right-wingers love to hate. And at the presidential level, we've voted for the Democrat every year since 1984.

But here at home, the reality is a bit more complex. For 16 years, until 2006, the Oregon House was dominated by the nastiest right-wing Republicans around. We've got a ballot measure system that's dominated by wacko conservatives and their corporate backers. And, of course, we've got the last remaining Republican Senator on the West Coast.

We've decriminalized marijuana, but banned gay marriage. We'll let you get a doctor's help to end your life, but we won't let you pump your own gas.

Why the schizophrenic politics? Maybe it's the rain. Or maybe...

Or maybe, as FiveThirtyEight.com discovered, we've got the most liberal liberals and the most conservative conservatives of any state in the union. Here's what's happening in Oregon in 2008:

U.S. SENATE

The race features corporate lackey Gordon Smith against progressive hero Jeff Merkley. In 2006, Merkley led the Democrats in Oregon to take back the Oregon House - and led the most progressive and most productive legislative session in the nation.

Merkley is arguably the most progressive challenger in a competitive U.S. Senate race in the country.

That's why Democracy for America just announced that Merkley is their #1 priority in the nation.

That's why Al Gore is headlining a rally for Merkley on Friday in Portland. (TICKETS HERE.)

And that's why Jeff Merkley is the target of eight (!) separate attack ad campaigns from Karl Rove's Freedom's Watch, the shadowy Americans for Job Security, the anti-union Employee Freedom Action Committee, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the American Medical Association, the Associated General Contractors, the NRSC and Gordon Smith.

Oregon is being deluged with attack ads. The antidote to that? The biggest grassroots campaign in Oregon history, just as Jeff Merkley promised when he announced. You know what else? It's also the biggest netroots campaign in Oregon history.

Over 21,000 people from over 4300 zipcodes in all 50 states have donated to Jeff Merkley -- over 90% of them under $100. Join this grassroots movement. Make a donation.


OREGON-5

The only competitive congressional race is in Oregon-5, where Congresswoman Darlene Hooley is retiring - one of only two incumbent Democrats in the nation to do so.

Oregon-5 is historically the toughest swing district in the state. Running to replace Hooley are Kurt Schrader (D) and Mike Erickson (R). Schrader is a state senator, a veterinarian, and a farmer. Mike Erickson is a self-funding millionaire businessman with a checkered past.

Nancy Pelosi will be campaigning for Schrader on Friday (TICKETS HERE) - and the DCCC has just launched a new ad campaign that tells voters all about Erickson's shady background.

Help Kurt Schrader close the deal. Make a donation.


THE BALLOT MEASURES

Over the last century, no state has been more dedicated to the use of citizen initiatives than the state that pioneered it - with usually a dozen or so measures each election cycle.

Unfortunately, our initiative system has been largely hijacked by a small handful of right-wing activists - and the gazillionaire lunatics that fund their work.

This year, there are five measures from Bill Sizemore - an anti-tax, anti-union activist and initiative racketeer. His measures would undermine labor unions, blow a $2.5 billion hole in the state budget, force "performance" pay for teachers, and require English-only teaching in schools.

There are two measures from Kevin Mannix - a former legislator, five-time election loser, and pro-prison activist. He would require prison time for first-time nonviolent offenders (costing at least a billion in new prisons) and move $200 million in lottery dollars from education and economic development to law enforcement.

And yes, the rumors are true. Both Mannix and Sizemore receive millions of dollars from just one sugar-daddy -- Nevada millionaire and sexual hypnotist Loren Parks. You can't make this stuff up.

If you're not from Oregon, here's what I want to know from you: Does every state have their own cast of right-wing nutballs? Or are we just extra-lucky here in Oregon?

Learn more about these measures at Defend Oregon.


STATEWIDE OFFICES

The race for State Treasurer features State Sen. Ben Westlund, a former Republican who became a Democrat in 2007 -- and businessman Allen Alley, a Republican who served as deputy chief of staff to Governor Ted Kulongoski, a Democrat. Go figure. Expect Westlund to win handily.

The race for Secretary of State stars State Sen. Kate Brown, former Senate Majority Leader (D). She's whip-smart, progressive, and dedicated to election protection. (Oh, and if elected, she'll be America's first openly-GLBT statewide elected official.) She's running against Rick Dancer (R), a local TV talking head funded by timber tycoons. It's a close race, with "undecided" leading both candidates in the most recent poll.

Help Ben Westlund and Kate Brown. Make a donation.


THE LEGISLATURE

The Oregon House currently sits at a bare 31-29 majority for the Democrats. And much like the U.S. Senate, Oregon's House Democrats are poised for huge gains in 2008 - perhaps as many as five, six, or even seven more seats; Republicans have failed to seriously challenge a single incumbent.

No race exemplifies the changing face of Oregon politics like the one between right-wing lunatic Rep. Linda Flores and attorney and politico Brent Barton. They're running in a usually-reliable GOP stronghold in the exurban outskirts of Portland, but this may be our year. Flores is known for her defense of predatory payday lenders, and her insane views on immigration and abortion (rape victims don't deserve emergency birth control?!), while Barton is talking about bread-and-butter issues like jobs, education, and health care.

The Oregon Senate has 19 Democrats and 11 Republicans - and no change is expected this year.

Help Oregon's House Democrats build a lasting majority. Make a donation.

Full disclosure: My company, Mandate Media, builds websites for political campaigns -- including Jeff Merkley, Kurt Schrader, Kate Brown, and the Oregon House Democrats -- but the analysis above is my own and I speak only for myself.

  • (Show?)

    Off topic, but has anyone else seen this?

    [Off-topic comment deleted, lest this overtake the thread. It's getting it's own post momentarily.]

  • iwmpb (unverified)
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    Telfer will win Westlund's seat; the Senate will be 18-12 next session.

  • Michael M. (unverified)
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    from the comments at Daily Kos:

    I haven't seen any studies, but I'm guessing that it's more energy-efficient and causes fewer carbon emissions to have the mailcarriers come by and pick up the ballots -- rather than driving around town, getting lost, sitting in traffic, etc. by karichisholm on Thu Oct 23, 2008 at 08:06:36 PM PDT

    Some of us don't drive around town. Some of us actually believe that personal responsibility is the most essential component in the fight against global warming. (I know, "personal responsibility" is a foreign concept to a bunch of liberal hypocrites who put Obama stickers on their SUVs.) I biked my ballot over to the local library, not a single carbon emission required. You ought to try getting out of your car sometime, Kari, you might actually learn something about Portland and Oregon, not to mention lose some weight and do some real good for the planet for once.

  • janek51 (unverified)
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    I got a mailing from Oregon CSEPAC---Oregon Citizens for a Sound Economy PAC. They don't endorse anyone for US Senator, but all their other recommendations for ballot measures fit the Mannix/Sizemore (or as I like to call him---Sizewhore) mold. They recommend Linda Flores too, which seems an odd choice given her own personal financial troubles.

  • Jane Dugan (unverified)
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    "Why the schizophrenic politics? Maybe it's the rain. Or maybe..."

    It's because Oregon is ran and controlled by democrats.

  • Joel H (unverified)
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    Wait, are you implicitly blaming the self-serve gas ban on conservatives? You might be right, but conservatives blame it on liberals. I suspect that bit of Oregon law is probably some bipartisan crackpot authoritarianism, but I couldn't find any history of it in the 30 seconds I spent searching.

  • (Show?)

    Expect Westlund to win handily.

    Really? Alley seems to be making a pretty good case for himself. This seems like one of those times when a low-profile race run between two relatively low-profile candidates might be sensitive to newspaper endorsements. And everyone from the O to the Merc endorsed Alley.

    "Why the schizophrenic politics? Maybe it's the rain. Or maybe..."

    It's because Oregon is ran and controlled by democrats.

    Yes, because a few years ago, when Karen Minnis was running the show, sailing was so smooth.

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    Wait, are you implicitly blaming the self-serve gas ban on conservatives?

    That wasn't my intent, though I can see how it might read that way.

  • EddieHog (unverified)
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    Jeff, why would you say that "everyone from the O to the Merc endorsed Alley"?

    Westlund's even-longer list of newspaper endorsements is well-documented on his website.

    Alley has received the WW's token Republican booby prize (probably because Westlund didn't "Go Wild" with them), and the endorsements from a few Republican papers. The only REAL suprise was the Mercury, but I don't see that swinging anyone.

    In recent history, The Oregonian endorsement page might as well be a political obituary.

  • mp97303 (unverified)
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    "...and the endorsements from a few Republican papers."

    If the Statesman Urinal is considered conservative, how far flippin' left are you?

  • Jim (unverified)
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    "And at the presidential level, we've voted for the Democrat every year since 1984."

    <h2>Since 1988, actually. Oregon supported Reagan in 1984.</h2>

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