Pollster Amy Simon has provided BlueOregon the results of a recent poll conducted in House District 49 - which features Speaker Karen Minnis and her Democratic challenger Rob Brading.
According to the polling analysis, the Speaker's "re-elect number" is stunningly low:
Just 38 percent of likely voters say they would vote to re-elect Minnis, while a statistically equal 37 percent say they would vote to replace her. The remaining one-quarter (25%) are undecided. For us to consider an incumbent in a solid position to win re-election, we look for them to exceed the threshold of 50 percent on their re-elect....
When asked the "ballot test" question, her numbers were equally bad:
The actual vote question introduces partisan identification, as we ask the question that voters will see on the ballot – “If the election were held today, would you vote for Rob Brading, Democrat, or Karen Minnis, Republican?” ... In the vote question, with partisan labels, Minnis (38%) is statistically tied with Brading (35%), with 28 percent undecided.
The poll of 400 likely voters was conducted a month ago, April 13-18, and was "after her campaign had spent over $150,000 and sent several different pieces of direct mail to voters across her district."
Looks like voters have finally started to wake up to Minnis's power plays, divisive politics, budget hijinks, and shady deal making. And they're starting to notice Rob Brading: a progressive with the experience to get the job done and represent his community.
Volunteers and book stores have donated thousands of used books to help fund the campaign. By buying a few, you build grassroots support for the Brading campaign -- while Karen Minnis rakes in big cash from special interests.
Head on over to the book sale at DPO HQ - 232 Northeast 9th Avenue - Friday to Sunday 10 a.m. to 4 p.m. Let's take back Oregon from Karen Minnis and her right-wing gang.