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It's 8 p.m. The polls are closed. Use this space to discuss the results of the contested primary races for the state legislature. Election results here.
At 7:44 pm I wrote:
"Senate 24: Rod Monroe 54% - Jesse Cornett 46%
This is easily the most interesting metro Senate primary, in part because of how these two made the ballot on March 7. Low turnout will hurt Jesse in this district. Those Mid-East County Dems are a more conservative lot than their inner city cousins. This race is a lot like Gary Hansen-Jeff Cogen. Aging, familiar veteran against promising young idealist. East of I-205, those middle-class voters prefer the familiar over the untested."
First results at 8:00 pm show:
State Senator, 24th District
Rod Monroe 2,294 54.74%
Jesse Cornett 1,882 44.91%
WRITE-IN 15 .36%
Sometimes I hate it when I'm right . . .
Brad Avakian 66%
Sam Chase 34%
Rod Monroe 55%
Jesse Cornett 45%
Ben Cannon 40%
Mary Hennrich 27%
Mary Botkin 13%
Cindy Banzer 13%
Lynn Partin 7%
State Sen 13, State House 37 and the Roberts/Linder Supreme Court race look like the ones too close to call.
What's the deal with the Big O not reporting on HD 27 (Read v. Bohan)? From what I can tell on the WashCo website, it's REALLY close (as of 9 PM about 1000 votes each), but that's going to get more complicated factoring the MultCo votes. Any media insiders want to help me out?
Ben C. and Ted K. both were not endorsed by the Mult. Co. party but won. How many other cases like that are there? Are the party committee members losing touch with their voters?
It's an interesting comment, Paul. The Multco party represents the activist base, but you have to think this wasn't the height of political savvy.
Ryan Olds: 813
Gary Blackburn: 812
Update in HD 27 (Since I can't find it anywhere else...):
State Representative House District 27
Vote For 1
Tobias Read. . . . . . . . . . 1,541 49.87
Mike Bohan . . . . . . . . . . 1,542 49.90
WRITE-IN. . . . . . . . . . . 7 .23
State Representative, 27th District
Vote For 1
Tobias Read. . . . . . . . . . 196 66.44
Mike Bohan . . . . . . . . . . 97 32.88
WRITE-IN. . . . . . . . . . . 2 .68
My total: Read 1737, Bohan 1639.
State Senate, 17th District
Brad Avakian - 1,283 - 57%
Sam Chase - 952 - 43%
State Senator, 24th District
Rod Monroe - 3,231 - 52%
Jesse Cornett - 2,899 - 47%
State Rep, 46th District
Ben Cannon - 2,220 - 41%
Mary Lou Hennrich - 1,437 - 27%
Cindy Banzer - 633 - 12%
Mary Botkin - 670 - 12%
Lynn D. Partin - 454 - 8%
Whoops, sorry about the bold.
All right, I'm going to bed. And doing so with the firm conviction that Jesse's gonna catch Rod. Gooooooo Jesse!
Interesting 11:00 pm results from the Republicans runnning in East Mult Co.
Incumbent John Lim (D-50) pulls in 1,950 votes.
Meanwhile, in District 47, 1st-timer Bruce McCain pulls in more votes (1,768) than incumbent Speaker Karen Minnis, who has only polled 1,662 in District 49. That has to fire up the Brading Bunch . . .
Sorry to tell you this, but Rod was projected the winner.
My condolences to Jesse..I would have voted for you if I was in that district.
Just looked at the county by county state sen. results, and Jesse is literally tied with Rod in Clackamas County!
I have a friend who ran for state rep. in a 2 county district and it was literally Thursday when we discovered that although he'd carried his home county, the opponent had carried HIS home county by a margin large enough to win the district. Tough way to lose.
Whatever happens, Jesse should be proud of his effort.
Currently in HD-27:
Washington County results are current as of 12:15 am. Multnomah County Results have not been updated since 8pm this evening.
Tobias Read: 1689
Mike Bohan: 1699
Tobias Read: 196
Mike Bohan: 97
Tobias Read: 1885
Mike Bohan: 1796
Tobias Read is Currently Edging out Mike with an 89 vote lead in the closest primary of the entire state.
I met the Multinomah Dem Chair once. They are run by a geeky white guy who doesn't have a job and is supported by mommy and daddy. That's a great face of your party.
What was that line about little "d" anyway?
With the new Multnomah County Results (as of 01:28AM), HD 27 looks like:
State Representative, 27th District
Vote For 1
Tobias Read. . . . . . . . . . 321 64.07
Mike Bohan . . . . . . . . . . 178 35.53
WRITE-IN. . . . . . . . . . . 2 .40
Add those in with the Washington County Results (Read 1689, Bohan 1699), and you get:
Read 2010 (~51.7%)
Bohan 1877 (~48.3)
I think we'll have to keep watching this overnight (or even through the week).
This close of a race, and still not covered by the AP (and thus KATU, KOIN, the Big O, and KGW)?!
I agree with LT, Jesse should be proud. It's a heartbreaking loss though since it was SO close. I just looked on Oregonlive and the margin was like 330 votes.
YEAH Tina Kotek! I couldn't be happier for her.
Tina really did the hard work of a winning campaign. I'm proud of her for choosing to take such a positive campaign road, I have no doubt she'll take the November election by storm and move on to first class representation of HD44.
I agree with the strange lack of coverage of HD 27. The only possible reason I can think of is that since HD 27 is in two counties the AP was going to have trouble processing the results. Its a BS reason, but there you go.
No one has mentioned Ben Cannon's convincing win in HD 46. Congratulations, Ben.
Jeff and Paul:
When it comes to the Democratic Party of Multnomah County endorsements, the endorsements were decided by Democratic Precinct Committee Persons in Multnomah County that attended the endorsement-related meetings. I don't know if the numbers changed substantially after the election (in terms of people filing for and becoming PCPs), but prior to this primary election there were between 600 and 700 PCPs in Multnomah county, with less than half of the PCP slots filled. I am a PCP in Multnomah county and could not make the meetings where the endorsements were decided, but I heard that 100 or fewer PCPs attended the endorsement-related meetings for governor and that an even smaller number attended the portion of the meetings devoted to state house race endorsements.
Under the current rules, if you are a Democrat and want to be involved in who the party endorses, what you have to do is become a PCP and participate in these meetings.
Looks like Bohan is creeping closer. He's winning by 59 in Washington County, but losing in Multnomah County by 153 for a net difference of 94 in Read's favor.
Congratulations to Rob Brading for getting more primary votes than Karen Minnis.
Regarding Multnomah Democrats' Endorsements:
First, it should be understood that endorsements are an attempt to influence the outcome of elections, not to predict them.
The fact is, though, that our endorsees didn't do so bad. In more than half of the contested races in which we took a position, our endorsees became Democratic nominees, office-holders elect, or runoff participants.
In partisan primaries, the outcome of the election equals endorsement for the general election. We will fully support every Democratic nominee between now and November.
I was not trying to be critical, just making an observation. It was pretty notable when the Dem Party Committee in the state's largest county fails to endorse the incumbent governor, and then turn out to be very, badly wrong.
The PCP election process is an interesting one. I toured the MultCo elections office with a colleague on Tuesday, and without exception, the biggest complaint among the workers and officials was the wasted money and effort on the PCP ballots.
Nearly all of them come in empty, yet the state continues to pay the printing and the counties have to tally the results.
Apparently,the Secy State and county elections officials have tried to change this, but too many legislators started as PCPs and have fond memories of days when the PCPs were more numerous, active,and engaged.
It's crystal clear to me that the Multnomah County Democratic Party failed to accurately represent the views of Democrats living in Multnomah County.
So, since the local news stations do not have the ability to track their own stories, and it takes a grassroot organization involving repeated calls to Mult. Co. and Wash. Co. elections office, here are the latest results for HD-27 democratic primary:
Total Votes: 2641
Washington County Votes: 2292
Mult. County Votes: 349
Total Votes: 2547
Washington County Votes: 2351
Mult. County Votes: 196
This leaves us with a 94 vote lead for Tobias Read. Wash. Co. claims that 155 of 159 precincts are counted, with the next update on Friday. Multnomah County results are the unofficial finals.
At current WashCo voting margin, Bohan stands to earn 6 more votes against Read for every 500 ballots cast in that primary. Which means, in order for Bohan to edge out Read, he needs some 7800 more ballots to be cast in his primary alone.
Any thoughts on that?
Well, there ain't 7800 Democrats in that district who have ballots left uncounted.
It's Tobias Read.
I didn't think you were trying to be critical. I was just trying to lay out how the endorsements were decided upon by the Democratic Party of Multnomah County. If anything, I would like to see more people become PCPs and more people participating in the endorsement meetings. I think the more people that participate, the more likely it would be that the endorsements would more closely track the sentiments of a majority of Democrats in Multnomah county.
The total number of Ds in HD 27 is around 13,500 I believe (its my home district ) and with the already counted total of about 6200, HD 27 is probably pretty close to done. There may be a fee hundred more votes out there and HD 27 tends to vote well above the average turnout (I think we were at 86% in 2004) but I don't think Bohan has the room to catch up. If this is the way it turns out, I can honestly say mucho congrats to both Mike and Tobias and say I'll be walking the streets of West Slope, Raleigh Hills, etc. in order to make sure one of you is cozying into Mark Hass's old office come next January.
Young carpet baggers win - what an outrage...all you have to do is move in right before the election call yourself "young" with fresh ideas and you win. Boy are we in trouble - a bunch of new kids who have nothing to lose (incuding real jobs) and no clue as to what it takes to govern. Yahoo for the next generation heavenknows we don't even expect them to have a resume longer than a college degree.
In my disrict I just go a Rhodes scholar with no life experience - no Oregon teaching certificate - I have shoes that are older than this kid. Moved in right before the election (his admission not mine) so he could run. But a majority elected him - I'll be at every town hall he has (if he knows or cares to do them) and will hold him to his ideas/promises - oh never mind - he did not have any.
I don't think you are being fair to Ben Cannon. Check out the web sites of the candidates for their positions on the issues (they are still up). Ben provided more information on his positions than any of the other candidates that were running in HD-46.
Give Ben a chance as the Democratic party's nominee in your district. I think he will surprise you.
With all due respect, having worked in the Legislature, I would rather have young idealists than a bunch of old hacks. The past legislators have failed and while there are some good older reps on both sides (Nolan, Esquivel, Berger and Merkley immeadiately come to mind) we need to try something different. When nothing else has worked, you got nothing to lose.
Also, as someone who once attended Arbor, the school at which Ben is currently teaching, I can say that not only do you have to be smart to graduate from there but Kit Hawkins (the school's founder and leader) would not have hired someone who didn't have a real vision for what they wanted the world or at least Oregon to become.
Like anything else Betsy, give these guys a chance and they won't disappoint.
I just wanted to point out something...
Ben grew up in HD 46 (SE 59th and Hawthorne) and West Linn. Upon returning from college, he rented an apartment that was three blocks from both the border of the district, as well as two of the candidates in the race who live on the district's border. In October of last year, he moved back into the district.
I suspect that "Betsy" is giving us a glimpse of what the Republican campaign against Cannon is going to look like.
nothing to lose (incuding real jobs)
Actually, both Cannon and Read DO have "real" jobs. Cannon is a teacher, and Read is a kid's shoe developer. Matter of fact, I'm pretty sure every single candidate in both races had a "real" job.
Regarding these young punks trying to enter politics as PCP's, I'm one of them-- a tender 48 year old. I'm needed to do SOMETHING this election cycle, besides write checks and read blogs. This is a way to get into politics (not my goal) and I hope to inspire a few others to become PCP's or otherwise GET INVOLVED in local politics. I hope I can do some good in my small way.
PS, I am in Precinct 354, and got 97% of the votes, 263 (I don't even know that many people!) in my precinct. I guess folks in WashCo actually read the ballot!
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