Two simple questions for the Measure 50 trolls.

On Bill Penny's excellent post about corporate tobacco spin, commenter "TL" asks a pointed question of all the tobacco company shills hanging around BlueOregon.

1. do you support funding adequate healthcare for all of Oregon's children?

2. if you do, what funding source would you propose instead of the M50 solution - one that actually has a chance of being passed?

It is easy to criticize something, but provide some workable alternative to balance out all the negatives you name.

M50 is not perfect, but it is the best, most feasible solution I can see for the immediate term.

C'mon, folks. Give TL an answer. The tobacco companies are paying you enough.

Discuss.

  • Urban Planning Overlord (unverified)
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    I'm not a Measure 50 troll.

    I will vote in favor of Measure 50.

    I believe that all Americans, not just children, should have adequate health care. And unlike a lot of Americans, I believe that providing adequate health care to all Americans is going to cost a lot of money, because it shouldn't be done "on the cheap," and any claims that it can be done by "reducing corporate profits" is just pure demagoguery.

    That being said, I don't think that a cigarette tax is a particularly stable source of funding for a children's health program. My goal, and society's goal, is that cigarette usage will continue to decline, eventually to nothing. If it does, the source of funding for the children's health program will also wither away.

    My alternative is an across the board increase in the state income tax to pay for the health program. Yes, I know that my solution is politically impossible at this time. But, if Measure 50 passes, I sincerely hope that our legislature will, within a few years, have to look for an alternative source of funding for the children's health program, as cigarette taxes dry up with cigarette usage.

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    Dishonestly demonizing those who don't toe the party line is unbecoming of Blue Oregon. It's a tactic which led me to leave the GOP many years ago. It's also the kind of smug, self-righteous rhetoric which plays directly into the hand of those who say that the Dems and GOPers are more alike than unalike.

    That said... I responded to TL in that thread.

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    But, if Measure 50 passes, I sincerely hope that our legislature will, within a few years, have to look for an alternative source of funding for the children's health program, as cigarette taxes dry up with cigarette usage.

    I'm sure that they will have to anyways in 2009 when they discuss how to implement a universal health care plan in Oregon. To me, Measure 50 is a badly needed stop-gap measure that will hold us over until that plan is finalized. It's not perfect, but it is far better than the alternative of allowing 100,000 children to continue to go without health insurance and risk their lives.

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    Dishonestly demonizing those who don't toe the party line is unbecoming of Blue Oregon.

    It's not dishonest, trackbacks and ip adresses make it pretty clear when someone works for a tobacco company.

  • DanS (unverified)
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    First of all, I'm not a shill. I don't smoke, nor do any of my family or friens. I do not own any stock in the tobacco companies, thus, no dog in the fight.

    I do feel that it is immoral to slap a tax on a group of people addicted to a LEGAL product. This is a group of voters that will always be easily out-voted. Thus, I think there are much better answers.

    Q#1) Yes, I'm in favor of providing health insurance to all children (age 19 and under) to households earning less than $50,000 per year, indexed up slightly for the number of children in that household.

    Q#2) We should all pay for it. You and me. Picking on special groups in order to attempt behavior modification is just more big brother telling you what to do, or not to do.

    It should be paid for through a special income tax. We currently have many line item taxes based on bonds approved by the public. There is also the special TriMet tax paid by business owners. Why not have a "healthy kids tax?"

    The tax would only apply to household income greater than $50K. It would be phased in: starting at a fraction of the full percentage and eventually moving to the full percentage at a household income of say $150,000.

    This is fair. It also would skip most senior citizens with limited income and not become another property tax burden on them.

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    That being said, I don't think that a cigarette tax is a particularly stable source of funding for a children's health program. My goal, and society's goal, is that cigarette usage will continue to decline, eventually to nothing. If it does, the source of funding for the children's health program will also wither away.

    You know, I've finally figured out why this argument makes no sense to me.

    Currently, the state incurs $3 per pack in public health care costs. If we pass M50, the per pack cost goes down by $.84.

    Now, what happens if we get rid of every smoker in Oregon? Public health costs per pack = $0.

    In other words, for every pack M50 causes some smoker not to buy, the state loses the state share of the tax revenue--but also frees up $3 in public health dollars to be used for something else.

    The benefits of fewer smokers far outweighs the lost revenue to pay for the impact of smoking, as I can see it.

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    Fair enough, Nick. Having seen any who oppose M50's funding source dismissed previously at Blue Oregon as lackies of Big Tobacco, I assumed this was a replication of that rhetorical tactic. But if you've got evidence that those in the employ of Big Tobacco are commenting here then I'll take you at your word.

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    In other words, for every pack M50 causes some smoker not to buy, the state loses the state share of the tax revenue--but also frees up $3 in public health dollars to be used for something else.

    Neat rhetorical obfuscation, TJ. The stunningly obvious flaw in your argument is that those are public health dollars, not tax dollars being recovered. Thus it's utterly irrelevant to the issue at hand. In fact it underscores one of Big Tobacco's chief criticisms of M50.

    I'm noticing quite a trend with you insulting folks' intelligence.

  • Ross Williams (unverified)
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    Again, lets be clear. Measure 50 will fund children's health care while reducing the use of tobacco. And it will do it at the tobacco companies' expense, which is why they are spending so much money to oppose it.

    The tobacco companies haven't suddenly taken an interest in government efficiency, fairness to the people they got addicted to their product or the purity of the Oregon constitution. But they have tested their messages to find ones that are persuasive. And they would not be investing this much money in a campaign if they weren't somewhat confident of getting a payback.

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    Unlike Tobacco, which is a declining public health problem, junk food manufactorers are at the center if the single greatest public health epidemic in American - obesity. It also has arguably an even greater negative impact on the health of children than 2nd-hand smoking does.

    Does anyone doubt that if M50 went after the top public health problem to fund childrens healthcare that those corporations wouldn't likewise put up a full-court press to defeat it?

    The difference is that far, far more Oregonians indulge in foods linked to the obesity epidemic and thus have the political power to dissuade politicians from seriously eying them as a funding source for childrens healthcare.

  • M50Troll (unverified)
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    "1. do you support funding adequate healthcare for all of Oregon's children?"

    In other words, do I support socialized health care for all children, including those in affluent families or in families who already have health insurance for their kids?

    No.

    This, I am pretty sure, renders the other questions moot.

  • JHL (unverified)
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    Thank you, Torridjoe!

    DanS says "We should all pay for [children's health care]. You and me."

    But we already do pay for it, you and I! And we'd be doing fine if smokers didn't light up their lungs and squeeze an unfair share of money out of the system.

    That's like going to a pot luck dinner and eating everything you brought PLUS some food off the table.

  • Eric J. (unverified)
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    I do not work for anything tobacco. I thought things out WAY before they came into the picture. I can think for myself and am never swayed by any rhetoric but my own.

    Now...why ALL children? Most of these kids are uninsured because they have parents who don't know how to manage money or do not make enough to support a child. Why should I fit the bill for something that is not my fault. If we can show that the situation of any family isn't thier fault they are uninsured, then I would like to help. Otherwise, maybe some people should think before they have any kids at all.

  • John Eyler (unverified)
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    I do smoke. So no I don't want to pay more in taxes. Being a smoker it's easy to feel like a very unpopular minority. So stick it to us, you have all the "reasons" you need to make yourselves feel justified. It's actually very Democratic, find a group that you can demonize and charge them extra. Basically it's a sin tax. I actually have no problem with that, but M50 is still bad legislation. It doesn't provide stable future funding for what it hopes to do and it just masks the real problem we have with health care costs.

  • Nate Currie (unverified)
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    Most of these kids are uninsured because they have parents who don't know how to manage money or do not make enough to support a child.

    Ah, the last gasp of the morally bankrupt. When in doubt, blame the poor people for being poor. It's all their own fault.

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    Dishonestly demonizing those who don't toe the party line is unbecoming of Blue Oregon.

    Whoa, whoa, whoa... easy there folks.

    We are definitely NOT saying that all opponents of Measure 50 are trolls or paid shills. There are plenty of legitimate folks who've been part of the BlueOregon community for a long time, like Kevin. (Though I wish you'd use a last name or secondary identifier, to prevent confusion.)

    But with $10 million flooding into this state, we've been wondering how much of that money is targeting blogs with paid commenters.

    And we've seen a big spike in anonymous one-off comments coming from IP addresses in Virginia, North Carolina, etc.

    And we know that there are right-wing media firms promoting exactly this sort of "blog attack" service.

    But rather than just block IPs and stuff (though we're doing some of that), we thought we'd actually try and engage them directly -- and use TL's excellent comment to do just that.

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    Ah, the last gasp of the morally bankrupt. When in doubt, blame the poor people for being poor. It's all their own fault.

    I couldn't agree more, Nate. But it does beg the question of why focusing on a group which is heavily dominated by the poor and the near-poor as the funding source for a measure which claims to help poor people any less morally bankrupt? I mean, doesn't that turn the parable of the Good Samaratin on it's head?

    I've seen plenty of blaming the poor by M50 boosters here.

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    How to pay for children's health? The same damn way we pay for most of the rest of the state budget: income taxes. The fact that it's politically more expedient to shovel the costs onto a relatively powerless minority of the population is frankly disgusting to me.

    tj keeps making this argument:

    Currently, the state incurs $3 per pack in public health care costs. If we pass M50, the per pack cost goes down by $.84.

    A tax can't simultaneously pay for an increase in children's health care and offset its entire value in smoking-related costs.

    Any portion of that $.84 that goes to anything other than paying for smoking-related public health care (say, for an increase in coverage of uninsured children) does not actually offset the $3/pack amount, unless the rest of the health care budget cuts its coverage for children and shifts the money to other programs that are covering smokers.

    Get some change. Lay out $1. That's your current public health budget. Separate out $.25. That's the portion of the budget for children's health care. Put down another $.10 in a third pile to represent cigarette taxes (the amounts on this illustration don't matter, they're not in proportion).

    Move $.05 from the cigarette tax pile to the kids health pile. You've now increased the budget for children's health so that you can cover more uninsured children. You've got another $.05 of cig tax revenue that offsets more smoking-related health costs. The rest of the health care budget hasn't changed is the same as it was before, though.

    And, as I pointed out at LO the other day, this is the route that the state took with the lottery 25 years ago. It was supposed to be a way to tap into all of the illegal gambling going on around the pool halls and bars and provide funds for economic development in the darkest of the Reagan years. Ten years from now, Phillip Morris may be working with the state to make sure everyone knows that when you're lighting one up you're doing it to support children's health care.

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    I do smoke. So no I don't want to pay more in taxes. Being a smoker it's easy to feel like a very unpopular minority. So stick it to us, you have all the "reasons" you need to make yourselves feel justified. It's actually very Democratic, find a group that you can demonize and charge them extra. Basically it's a sin tax. I actually have no problem with that, but M50 is still bad legislation.

    John,

    I have also been known to buy the occasional pack of cigarettes, and I just mailed my ballot with a big YES on Measure 50.

    That same ballot also had a YES on the City of Eugene's three-cent gasoline tax increase for road repair. I drive a car. Does it suck to pay more money for gas? Of course. Does it come back to benefit me through repaired roads (much needed in my neighborhood)? Yes.

    It's the same principle with M50: I throw down some extra coinage on a pack of Lucky Filters, and little Tommy Oregonian gets his MMR vaccine. It may just be an exercise in solidarity, but I have no problem paying a little extra to fund health care for children. I would probably likewise support a tax on fast food or foods high in trans fats or hydrogenated oils to fund health care for children.

    It's all a matter of cleaning up after yourself. Drive? Pay to fix the roads. Smoke? Pay to fix the kids.

  • Rob Milesnick (unverified)
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    To Andrew Plambeck,

    I really appreciate what you just posted, Andrew.

    I think you summed up the Yes on 50 campaign very nicely. Pack out what you pack in...and leave it cleaner than you found it.

    Good for you, and thanks.

    Rob Milesnick

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    Neat rhetorical obfuscation, TJ. The stunningly obvious flaw in your argument is that those are public health dollars, not tax dollars being recovered. Thus it's utterly irrelevant to the issue at hand. In fact it underscores one of Big Tobacco's chief criticisms of M50. I'm noticing quite a trend with you insulting folks' intelligence.

    Well, you're surely not insulting mine--because I don't have the first clue what you're trying to say here.

    We're talking about public health dollars, and using a tax to recover the charges we don't have enough public health dollars for, in part because of smokers. It's fairly simple math: for each pack not smoked, the state saves $3, but forgoes the tax revenue on that pack. As long as the tax revenue is less than $3 a pack (which of course it is), every pack not smoked is a net benefit to the state public health system.

  • wheels (unverified)
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    How much money have the healthcare companies put into the pro-measure 50 campaign? Are there healthcare company trolls here as well?

    While I'm in favor of measure 50 because it makes good public health sense, this measure is not a pure "good versus evil," "children versus tobacco companies," "cancer boy versus Nick Naylor" issue. Remember what healthcare companies do politically.

    While our healthcare continues to become more expensive, even while its quality plummets, and meanwhile nurses' unions continue to have to fight for fair pay and working conditions, nobody seems to be putting the blame on these big healthcare corporations. They have done an amazingly effective job at shrugging off the blame. How? By deflecting that blame onto people it's okay for us to hate, namely:

    1. Lawyers
    2. Tobacco companies

    "Your healthcare is expensive because lawyers make too much money on malpractice suits and it's killing us." "Your healthcare is expensive because the tobacco companies continue to sell their product, which makes people deathly ill and drives up our costs." I'm not saying those aren't factors, but I can tell you that the much bigger factors are high administrative overhead and fabulously wealthy shareholders.

    So now the healthcare companies get to say, we want to help your children, the tobacco companies don't, and that makes us good. In reality, the healthcare companies really don't want to help our children, unless, of course, they figure out how to make a profit on it.

    I'm an equal opportunity demonizer.

  • LiberalIncarnate (unverified)
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    I already voting in favor of M50. Yes, I DO believe in socialized medicine, but M50 is FAR from it.

    Even Canada doesn't actually have "socialized" medicine, you wacko nazi M50 Trolls. They have a single payer system... or more accurately, a provincial single payers system whereby each province has its own system. It works and their cigarette taxes are considerably higher than they are here in the US.

    My advice to people like M50 Troll is to MOVE. Leave this country. Go to Iraq where you are already trying to set up a neo-conservative haven!!

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    Drive? Pay to fix the roads. Smoke? Pay to fix the kids.

    I understand the reasoning and am partial to the cause/effect nature of that philosophy. But I don't see anything even remotely close about the connection between smoking and healthcare for kids that I do in driving and paying to fix roads.

    I haven't researched this exact point but I'd be willing to bet that for underpriviledged kids in Oregon that the effects of exposure to any form of tobacco pale in comparison to the effects of obesity in terms of healthcare needs for those very kids.

    We can all dance around the political reality that smokers are politically weak in favor of citing societal costs as a rational for placing the entire burden for M50 on smokers. But none of that will alter the fundamental disconnect between that raionalization and what we KNOW to pose a greater health risk to those same kids. That pro-M50 folks dance around the issue indicates to me that either they don't know any better or they are just taking a page from the Reich Wing and using whatever is politically expedient to get a favored outcome.

  • Eric (unverified)
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    1. do you support funding adequate healthcare for all of Oregon's children?

    That's a rather disingenuous question, isn't it? I mean, only a cold-hearted bastard - or a Libertarian - would answer "no."

    1. if you do, what funding source would you propose instead of the M50 solution - one that actually has a chance of being passed?

    See, your last phrase "one that actually has a chance of being passed" is really the kicker, isn't it. Smokers have been demonized for decades now. It's rather easy to not feel any empathy for them, or nicotine addiction. All people seem to care about is that smoke smells, stains teeth, and produces second-hand smoke.

    What are some other funding? How about a new beer tax? Or a gasoline tax? Or a luxury item tax? Or a new property tax? Maybe a levy? How about a bond measure?

    But, those options would take too much work, wouldn't it. Actually have to get out there and campaign and such. Rather, let's pick the demographic that's dwindling, yet is fully demonized, to provide an unstable tax coffer for children's insurance.

    Rather than put a band-aid on our healthcare system, why not look at the root causes of our runaway costs? It's not the smokers that make our healthcare costs exponentially more expensive than the rest of the world.

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    Any portion of that $.84 that goes to anything other than paying for smoking-related public health care (say, for an increase in coverage of uninsured children) does not actually offset the $3/pack amount, unless the rest of the health care budget cuts its coverage for children and shifts the money to other programs that are covering smokers. Get some change. Lay out $1. That's your current public health budget. Separate out $.25. That's the portion of the budget for children's health care. Put down another $.10 in a third pile to represent cigarette taxes (the amounts on this illustration don't matter, they're not in proportion).

    Not following you, Darrel. Sure the $3/pack cost does not go down, but an additional $.84 now can be applied to that cost where it wouldn't have been before. The effective social cost is now $.84 less per pack than before.

    I think you make a mistake in suggesting there's a budget for public health care. There isn't. Whatever it costs, that's what we pay. There's no zero-sum for public health care; however much it goes up per year, that's what we have to come up with. (That's why TABOR was so dangerous; it did not account for high rates of cost growth in areas like health care, where there are few options for cuts or even holding the line without seriously unpalatable cuts in service).

    Let's suggest 100 million packs a year in Oregon. That's $300 million added to public health costs, roughly.

    Now we tax those 100 million packs an additional $.84. That's $84 million in new revenue. Apply that to the $300 million, and now our remaining costs are $216 million.

    But say M50 causes a decrease of 10 million packs next year. That means $270 million in costs, and $75.6 million in tax revenue--for a resulting public health care cost of $194.4 million. So the reduction in smoking shorts the state a little less than $10 million in revenue...but the overall public health cost from smoking is now more than $21 million lower than before--even with 10% FEWER packs sold. That $21 million is essentially health care "profit."

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    "But I don't see anything even remotely close about the connection between smoking and healthcare for kids that I do in driving and paying to fix roads."

    You don't see that every pack smoked makes it more difficult for the state to insure its children, because it's too busy taking care of smokers??

  • Sally (unverified)
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    I am a registered Democrat. I'm an engineer, not a tobacco company employee.

    Just because someone disagrees with you doesn't make them a troll.

    With attitudes like you've shown, why should anyone stay a democrat? You can't refute their argument, so you start another topic to call them names?

    Classy.

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    This "stable funding" meme (that the tobacco tax will continue to go down indefinitely) has apparently become solidified as truth. There are two problems: 1) it's not true; and 2) the fall-off in revenues has been calculated as a part of the formula. I, of course, am too ignorant to make the former case, but not too ignorant to quote those who can:

    Yes, the per-pack tax will rise, but the number of packs consumed will thus fall. Consumers will stop smoking or smoke less. They will switch to substitutes (nicotine gum?). They may start purchasing more cigarettes when on vacation or in duty-free shops. Whatever the cause, to estimate the reduction in sales of packs of cigs in Oregon, we need to know the price elasticity of demand for cigarettes. This is simply, in percentage terms, by how much the quantity of cigarette packs will fall, given a 1% rise in price. I looked the economics literature and, surprise, surprise, estimates vary widely. I would say that about -0.50 overall is about average (or even a bit overstated) and it is a bit higher for youngsters. So this means we should see about a 1% decline in cigarette consumption for a 2% raise in price. Since Oregon’s tax increase would raise prices roughly 20%, we should see a 10% drop in sales. So revenues should increase by roughly 10% (though equilibrium price should settle even higher) of which the states share has increased 71% so tax revenues could be expected to increase by about 61%. This looks like about an extra $162 million. So my extremely crude back-of-the-envelope calculations are pretty close to what I have seen is the state’s projections.

    Can we quit offering the instability argument as truth until we prove it? I'd like to see someone make the argument.

  • Terri (unverified)
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    TorridJoe

    The state would only be busy taking care of smokers under a gov't socialized health plan. Unrelated.

    Measure 50 is badly written, and bases it's funding on a guaranteed disappearing source of funding. You don't build an ever increasing in cost socialized medicine plan for children (both native and illegal immigrant care) on a tax that is guaranteed to be less each year. It's economic idiocy.

    Already been tried, and failed, in California. Rob Reiner got a hefty tobacco tax in for cash to advertise no-smoking for the children. The funds started drying up because the ads worked. Then he started whining about the lack of funding, and started looking elsewhere for the $s.

    The bill needs to be rethought out, and rewritten with a more stable funding source. And extracated from the State Constitution. Nothing wrong with trying to help income restricted kids get healthcare. But there's something wrong with this particular method economically.

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    Rather than put a band-aid on our healthcare system, why not look at the root causes of our runaway costs? It's not the smokers that make our healthcare costs exponentially more expensive than the rest of the world.

    Precisely!!

    The reason they're not looking at the root causes is the same reason that they chose tobacco products as the mule to pull the train - political expediency.

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    You don't see that every pack smoked makes it more difficult for the state to insure its children, because it's too busy taking care of smokers??

    Demagoguery only works if your audience really doesn't know the difference.

    Are you suggesting that smokers are deservedly the target of M50 because they're the largest cause of societal costs which might otherwise be plowed into making sure those kids have healthcare?

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    To Sally and others...

    They didn't mean you were a troll if you disagree with M50. And if you felt that way, I know that Kari and the rest of the gang at Blue Oregon didn't mean you to. There's actually an explanation up earlier from Kari on this.

    They were actually talking to a number of commenters whose IPs seem to show them coming from the area of the country where the tobacco companies are located. And since it's a service that is being promoted to do just that - go around and comment on blogs on specific topics - it does seem to say there are people paid to come on here and be against the measure.

    <hr/>

    On another topic, I get really tired of comments like this:

    Otherwise, maybe some people should think before they have any kids at all.

    Those kinds of comments really fucking piss me off. And as anyone can tell you, I must be pretty mad when I start cursing.

    There are lots of situations people can't control. Back in 2003, I lost my job just before our daughter turned 1. We went from a two income family making over $45,000 combined to making around $20,000. And since the state was in the middle of a recession, finding a job was almost impossible. Especially if you can't work jobs that require constant standing or lifting of heavy objects due to health reasons. So suddenly we didn't have enough money for food, or electricity, or rent, or anything. My sister moved in to help pay the bills, but it wasn't enough. We ended up on food stamps and WIC. We got assistance so we could keep minimal service on the phone, but there was such a need for electricity help that we never made it off the waiting list.

    We had health insurance through my husband's work, which we could suddenly not afford. However, since we couldn't change your plan during the cycle, and with my health problems and a baby in the house, we didn't get rid of our insurance. We tried getting assistance from the state to cover the insurance, but we'd have to be without coverage for 6 months before they'd help us.

    Thanks to my husband's friend's moving company, we were able to pull in enough odd job work to cover part of the premium. But it still meant going hungry - a lot.

    Had we been in a position where we could have dropped our coverage, and I hadn't already had a major health problem, we would have very likely dropped our coverage. Which means our child would have been without coverage.

    I just don't get what people think poor people should do. Should they give away their kids if they're poor? Should they have an abortion because they're poor? Should a married couple who is poor completely abstain from sex? You can take all the precautions you want, but only abstinence is 100%. Many pregnancies among the poor are completely unplanned. And with access to family planning services getting more and more difficult, that number will only continue to rise.

    Yes, there are poor people who purposefully have kids and continue having kids even though they can't afford them. But that's a smaller population within the low income community. And even still, those kids shouldn't be without access to health care because they have crappy parents.

  • Kitty C (unverified)
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    <h1>1- NO</h1> <h1>2- See #1</h1>

    You fellows have move on from "Its' for the Children".

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    I think you make a mistake in suggesting there's a budget for public health care. There isn't. Whatever it costs, that's what we pay.

    That's just a specious argument, tj. If that was the case, there wouldn't be any uninsured children, would there?

    The state doesn't pay for everything it could. It doesn't cover everyone it could. That's the whole point behind this measure.

    If you're really unaware that there's a budget for health services, let me point you to the Human Services budget for 2005-2007 (pdf):

    http://www.oregon.gov/DAS/BAM/docs/Publications/GRB0507/C-HumanSvcs.pdf

    Here's a quote (my emphasis):

    Major reductions to these programs fall into three main categories: managing costs within the fee-for-service system, reducing client benefits, and finally, reducing covered populations. The recommended budget includes reducing managed care cost growth, eliminating cost of living adjustments for fee-for-service providers, eliminating dental and vision coverage for adult clients, and eliminating coverage for General Assistance clients. Mental Health and Public Health – Over the course of the biennium, over 200,000 children, adolescents and adults will receive community-based mental health treatment and crisis response services. Major reductions to these programs include closing three geriatric wards at the Oregon State Hospital and closing the Eastern Oregon Psychiatric Center. Clients in these facilities will be relocated to other community placements. Other reductions include delaying provider cost-of-living adjustments and reducing community mental health services.

    Feel free to explain how eliminating dental and vision coverage, etc. jibes with "whatever it costs".

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    The question that seems to be getting avoided here is.. What are the kids who are uninsured going to do if this measure fails? And the follow-up is, Are we all willing to pay through the nose through increased health care insurance in order to pay for those for those same kids when they show up in the ER?

  • gerry (unverified)
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    Questions "1 and 2" aren't pointed, they're childish and belligerent. M 50 is ludicrous and plenty of us are against it because we don't subscribe to the pseudoscience that gets thrown around by the Left on smoking. Every pack smoked "costs" the public 3 dollars, huh? Anyone else smell the junk science?

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    Kevin, Nobody ever had an athsma attack due to second hand french fries. If I sit in your car with you and you wolf down a couple Jumbo Jacks with cheese and extra secret sauce, large fries, 48oz Mountain Dew and a fried apple pie, I will not get fat. I may throw up in your car, but that's about it. If you smoke three cigarettes while I'm in your car, you make my cothes, hair and skin stink, clog my nose and burn my lungs. If I am your six year old kid and we have shared this quality time since you brought me home from St Smokie's, I'm probably gonna have life long health problems. Thanks for nothing, Dad. While obese people do add a drain to the community, they don't take along passangers on the way to their demise. Smokers do.

  • gerry (unverified)
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    Questions "1 and 2" aren't pointed, they're childish and belligerent. M 50 is ludicrous and plenty of us are against it because we don't subscribe to the pseudoscience that gets thrown around by the Left on smoking. Every pack smoked "costs" the public 3 dollars, huh? Anyone else smell the junk science?

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    And no kid ever died in a house fire caused by someone falling asleep while eating a pint of ice cream. (And I apologize for the stereotype images, that was kinda cruel.) Glen

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    Gerry,

    I personally am skeptical about the cited cost figures and for the basic reason you cite. But I don't doubt for a second that smoking incurs very real costs that can be measured after a fashion. Such a premise seems exceptionally plausible to me. So I only partially agree with you.

  • (Show?)
    And no kid ever died in a house fire caused by someone falling asleep while eating a pint of ice cream. (And I apologize for the stereotype images, that was kinda cruel.) Glen

    That actually underscores a relevant issue here. While unquestionably tragic and very likely to incur some very real financial costs... the kid who died in a fire doesn't pose the systemic societal costs that TJ and others keep citing. Whereas the pint of ice cream, if it's a regular habit, does incur very real systemic costs in general.

    That's not to suggest in any way that smoking doesn't incur systemic costs - it does! But other things do too. Which begs the question of why tobacco, but strangely enough... not cigars and their affluent smokers, is being singled out here.

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    I am thankful for the anti-50 folks that have come in here and actually answered Question #1 honestly with a resounding, "No!"

    And that's just it, folks. Those who say "No" to Question #1 can sit here and argue all day long about whether this tax is fair, whether it's stable, and more. But the bottom line is: You're against health care for children. Period. End of story.

    I think you're wrong. I'm not willing to let children in Oregon go uninsured one more day.

    If you agree with me on that, but disagree on the funding mechanism - and there are plenty of folks here that do - then, let's hear your answer to Question #2. (And not, please, "anything else". That's not an answer. That's a punt.)

  • andy (unverified)
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    I think M50 is a joke which is why I voted against it. The folks in Salem who dreamed it up are a cynical and lazy bunch. If they really cared about kids they would find other fixes. For instance, a bunch of these low income kids are already elgible for other programs but they don't apply.

    1. I don't see any reason why I should pay for other kid's healthcare. So far, I haven't seen a good reason why I should fork over my money to cover other people's kids. People have been raising kids for 100,000 years now without subsidized health care, I figure they can do it for another 50 years or so just fine.

    2. Even if someone was able to come up with a good answer to #1, I don't see any logical reason to tie it to tobacco. Why not bananas or green beans?

    3. It is pretty funny seeing all these liberals up in arms about tobacco and kids. Why are Democrats so busy passing a multi-billion dollar farm subsidy act and protecting tobacco growers with tariffs if they really care about the kids? Oh that is right, votes in Iowa, votes in South Carolina, etc. Not to mention the tax revenue from the product itself. Spare me the moral fever, the Dems have whored themselves out to big tobacco and gambling in order to maintain the tax revenue that they love. The anti-m50 rhetoric is just to make themselves feel a little better in the morning.

  • Michael Wilson (unverified)
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    Jenni writes about losing a job and many of us have been there and done that. I seen three recessions and managed to have a house foreclosed on me to boot, but supporting this is not something I am in favor of.

    The one major issue that bugs me in all of this is that there is little discussion as to why healthcare cost so much other than blaming the insurance companies. One little example. About six percent of births in the U.S. are attended by a midwife and those that are generally cost about 20% less than those attended by a doctor. In Europe the number is around 75%. While midwives do attended more births here in Oregon it is a far cry from what they could do. When will progressives get behind some changes that allow midwives and other medical practioners more access, or go further and look at some of the other issues that may be effecting the system? MW

  • (Show?)
    Posted by: gerry | Oct 23, 2007 2:44:49 PM Anyone else smell the junk science?

    Junk science? So you think that the link between cancer and a whole raft of health problems and smoking cigs is junk science? Are you serious?

  • (Show?)
    Posted by: Kevin | Oct 23, 2007 2:17:25 PM Are you suggesting that smokers are deservedly the target of M50 because they're the largest cause of societal costs which might otherwise be plowed into making sure those kids have healthcare?

    They are one of the top two when it comes to healthcare costs.

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    Kari wrote:

    And that's just it, folks. Those who say "No" to Question #1 can sit here and argue all day long about whether this tax is fair, whether it's stable, and more. But the bottom line is: You're against health care for children. Period. End of story.

    That's like saying that it was worth any effort to get rid of Saddam Hussein in 2002. In fact, I think I heard almost exactly that paragraph from people who objected to concerns about how many Iraqis would die as a result of the invasion, how destabilizing it would be to the region, and potential refugee problems, and the lack of evidence for WMDs. Just replace "health care for children" with "freedoms".

    A lot of those people were Democrats,too.

    You've never addressed why an increase in income taxes shouldn't pay for health care, Kari. That was my answer to #2. Smokers would pay for it. So would everyone else.

    Do you hate uninsured children? Why don't you want to pay for their health care yourself? Or is this sort of like the people who were more than willing to argue that the war in Iraq needed to be fought so long as it was done by other people and they didn't have to pay for it themselves? What's the children's health equivalent of "chickenhawk"?

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    Just to befuddle the actual trolls (although I looked back at the referenced posting and didn't see that many likely candidates), I don't have a problem with increasing the tax on cigarettes by far more than the amount proposed in Measure 50. Jack it up $2/pack and try to get more people off the stuff.

    But it's an abdication of responsibility on the part of the Legislature to fund an increase in children's health services by a tax targeted to even an unpopular minority of the population. Especially when the number of smokers isn't going to go down all that much as a result of this tax.

    Here's the lovely bit of info, from the Tobacco Tax Choices for Oregon from Tobacco Free Kids -- a Measure 50 supporter, believe it or not -- that gets to the nut of why this bill was put forward:

    http://www.tobaccofreekids.org/reports/prices/Oregon_Report_10_2007.pdf

    The New Revenues from Raising Oregon’s Cigarette Tax Rate will be Stable and Predictable for Years to Come Year to year, state cigarette tax revenues are more predictable and less volatile than many other state revenue sources, such as state income tax or corporate tax revenues, which can vary considerably year to year because of nationwide recessions or state economic slowdowns. In sharp contrast, large drops in cigarette tax revenue from one year to the next are quite rare because of the addictive power of cigarettes – the heaviest smokers, who are the most addicted and most resistant to quitting, cause total state pack sales and revenues to decline by smaller amounts, proportionately. After a major cigarette tax increase, state tobacco tax revenues typically decline by only about two percent per year, on average, because of ongoing reductions in smoking levels.

    Ain't that lovely? "State cigarette tax revenues are more predictable and less volatile than many other state revenue sources". You know why? Because it doesn't do enough to actually get people to stop smoking.

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    lestatdelc,

    What if smoking where third of the top three? Fourth of the top four? Fifth out of the top five? Would that REALLY make a difference here?

    I'm deeply skeptical that it would.

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    "Are you suggesting that smokers are deservedly the target of M50 because they're the largest cause of societal costs which might otherwise be plowed into making sure those kids have healthcare?"

    Not THE, but close to the top. Alcohol is the biggie.

  • (Show?)
    1. I don't see any reason why I should pay for other kid's healthcare. So far, I haven't seen a good reason why I should fork over my money to cover other people's kids. People have been raising kids for 100,000 years now without subsidized health care, I figure they can do it for another 50 years or so just fine.

    News flash--you already ARE paying for it. Under M50, you'd pay less.

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    darrelplant :

    The comment you brought forth from Kari pertains to question #1. Question #1 has nothing to do with tobacco - it simply asked: "do you support funding adequate healthcare for all of Oregon's children?"

    People who answer "no" to question number one would be against this measure no matter how it was funded. So them debating about how wrong the tobacco tax is just a waste since they are against the concept no matter how it is funded. So the "how it's funded argument" is actually just a straw man argument.

    People who answer yes that kids should have health care, but disagree with funding it through a tobacco tax, are a different story. They honestly want to debate the funding of the issue.

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    There are a number of reasons why we already spend more on health care in this country than it would take to cover everyone. A few reasons...

    1. Using the ER when you should instead go to a doctor. A lot of poor people do this because no payment is needed up-front, like it is at the doctors office.

    2. Letting minor ailments go until they become major ones. This is often a problem with those at the lower income levels. Then they end up at the hospital with something that could have been treated much cheaper and easily at the doctor.

    3. Costs of dealing with insurance. There are a lot of forms, processes, etc. that doctors offices have to deal with to bill insurance. They have to pay people specially to do this. Then there are all the people at the insurance company to deal with the incoming bills.

    4. Profit. Insurance companies are for-profit organizations. Any service you get, any plan you sign up for is placed at a price high enough to ensure a large amount of profit.

    5. Choice. Most people have very little choice in who they get their insurance from. Most have one company to choose from at their place of employment. They can get a plan on their own, but it will be more expensive than a group plan. Plus they'll be covering the entire cost themselves since most employers don't give you the funds they would have spent on your insurance if you turn their plan down.

    6. Huge bonuses for executives. The tens of millions given to all these executives really add up.

    7. Lack of service alternatives. Like was mentioned earlier, there are sometimes alternatives treatments that cost a lot less, such as midwifes, that aren't as widely available as they could be.

    I'm certain there are even more reasons. These are just the few that come to mind immediately.

  • trishka (unverified)
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    one of the biggest reasons for the high cost of healthcare in this country is the defensive medicine that is practiced by doctors and hospitals, out of fear of litigation.

    it's hugely wasteful. but as long as the lawyers have free reign on filing malpractice lawsuits, it's going to continue. i'm not an advocate of caps on payouts, mind you. if there's a genuine screw-up, the parties responsible need to be held responsible. that's not the issue.

  • (Show?)

    Jenni, you're right about that, I misinterpreted a line there.

    Kari, I apologize for misunderstanding your point. I doubt whether people who don't care about funding health care for children like "andy" are actually going to give a hoot whether you call them on it. If they've got the guts to pseudonymously post that they shouldn't contribute to civilization, they're too far gone to shame. Not me. I've got shame coming out my ears.

  • (Show?)

    darrelplant:

    I thought that might be the case. I've done it a few times on here myself and had red ears the rest of the night. ; )

  • Brian (unverified)
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    "There are lots of situations people can't control. Back in 2003, I lost my job just before our daughter turned 1. We went from a two income family making over $45,000 combined to making around $20,000."

    I'll bite. What goes through a persons mind with such limited income and then makes the decision to start a family? Assuming both you & are husband were employed full-time, that means you were earning around 12 bucks an hour putting him around 9 an hour. That's the time you say to one another, "Hey, let's have kids!"? You believe that you're financially equipped for the expense of adding children to the mix and capable of providing them with more than just the minimal necessities to get off to a good start in life? I honestly don't intend to dog anybody out here, but it would appear that your particular situation was well under your control and you made some poor choices. Losing any job sucks and can present temporary hardship, but were talking about 12 bucks an hour here. Positions in that wage range are and have been rather easy to come by for semi-skilled folks, if they're willing to perform the work. You certainly can't be too selective when your household income has suddenly decreased by more than 55%.

    Glad you're back on your feet and don't begrudge anybody for temporarily taking advantage of public assistance when they find themselves in a jam. That's what it's there for. However, I do take exception to you presenting your tale as a situation beyond your control. Poor planning almost always results in a poor outcome. Again, don't mean to offend, I can't buy your assertion that you were somehow forced to go on the government dole through no fault of your own here. Glad you made it through with taxpayer assistance mind you (you're quite welcome by the way), but
    there's some personal responsibility lacking there. Just sayin'

  • anoregonreader (unverified)
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    I'm getting in on the discussion quite late, but I am a bit confused by the moral outrage of those who think it is unfair to tax tobacco use. We use taxes to shape behavior all the time. We encourage home ownership by creating a deduction for mortgage interest. We provide tax credits for those who install certain energy conservation equipment. Did any of us turn those down because renters, or those less enlightened on conservation, are footing the bill? Many of those who find Measure 50 unfair would be first in line to support increased gas taxes to encourage less driving and more fuel-efficient vehicles.

    In fact, much of government action is aimed at changing behavior. Predatory lenders? Outlaw the practice or tighten regulations to prevent the worst abuses? Drivers who speed on the roadways? Enact a scheme of fines that ups the pain as the speed over the posted limit goes up?

    It may be somewhat unfair to single out smokers, in that their behavior has already lost its badge of social approval. But discouraging their tobacco use, which as torridjoe points out has horrible PUBLIC consequences, is perfectly justifiable. Hell, it would be justifiable if we just threw the resulting income stream down the toilet. We'd help some smokers quit and lower public health costs at the same time (and make them more reliable , and profitable, workers or businesspeople).

    The only reason we haven't taxed other socially damaging products, notably alcohol, more heavily, isn't because the product is free from harm, but because of the great power of the combined beer, wine and liquor lobbyists with those representing restaurant.

    Why haven't we required deposits on bottled water? Not because of any legitimate policy difference between that and fizzy drinks.

    Unfortunately, most of time tax policy is written to shape behavior, it is at the behest of the rich and powerful, and mostly benefits them. What is so bad about discouraging a very self-destructive behavior, improving the health of smokers and their families, and benefiting the less fortunate among us? It may not be the perfect solution, but I sure don't say any other solution proposed that comes close.

  • anoregonreader (unverified)
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    I'm getting in on the discussion quite late, but I am a bit confused by the moral outrage of those who think it is unfair to tax tobacco use. We use taxes to shape behavior all the time. We encourage home ownership by creating a deduction for mortgage interest. We provide tax credits for those who install certain energy conservation equipment. Did any of us turn those down because renters, or those less enlightened on conservation, are footing the bill? Many of those who find Measure 50 unfair would be first in line to support increased gas taxes to encourage less driving and more fuel-efficient vehicles.

    In fact, much of government action is aimed at changing behavior. Predatory lenders? Outlaw the practice or tighten regulations to prevent the worst abuses? Drivers who speed on the roadways? Enact a scheme of fines that ups the pain as the speed over the posted limit goes up?

    It may be somewhat unfair to single out smokers, in that their behavior has already lost its badge of social approval. But discouraging their tobacco use, which as torridjoe points out has horrible PUBLIC consequences, is perfectly justifiable. Hell, it would be justifiable if we just threw the resulting income stream down the toilet. We'd help some smokers quit and lower public health costs at the same time (and make them more reliable , and profitable, workers or businesspeople).

    The only reason we haven't taxed other socially damaging products, notably alcohol, more heavily, isn't because the product is free from harm, but because of the great power of the combined beer, wine and liquor lobbyists with those representing restaurant.

    Why haven't we required deposits on bottled water? Not because of any legitimate policy difference between that and fizzy drinks.

    Unfortunately, most of time tax policy is written to shape behavior, it is at the behest of the rich and powerful, and mostly benefits them. What is so bad about discouraging a very self-destructive behavior, improving the health of smokers and their families, and benefiting the less fortunate among us? It may not be the perfect solution, but I sure don't say any other solution proposed that comes close.

  • anoregonreader (unverified)
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    I'm getting in on the discussion quite late, but I am a bit confused by the moral outrage of those who think it is unfair to tax tobacco use. We use taxes to shape behavior all the time. We encourage home ownership by creating a deduction for mortgage interest. We provide tax credits for those who install certain energy conservation equipment. Did any of us turn those down because renters, or those less enlightened on conservation, are footing the bill? Many of those who find Measure 50 unfair would be first in line to support increased gas taxes to encourage less driving and more fuel-efficient vehicles.

    In fact, much of government action is aimed at changing behavior. Predatory lenders? Outlaw the practice or tighten regulations to prevent the worst abuses? Drivers who speed on the roadways? Enact a scheme of fines that ups the pain as the speed over the posted limit goes up?

    It may be somewhat unfair to single out smokers, in that their behavior has already lost its badge of social approval. But discouraging their tobacco use, which as torridjoe points out has horrible PUBLIC consequences, is perfectly justifiable. Hell, it would be justifiable if we just threw the resulting income stream down the toilet. We'd help some smokers quit and lower public health costs at the same time (and make them more reliable , and profitable, workers or businesspeople).

    The only reason we haven't taxed other socially damaging products, notably alcohol, more heavily, isn't because the product is free from harm, but because of the great power of the combined beer, wine and liquor lobbyists with those representing restaurant.

    Why haven't we required deposits on bottled water? Not because of any legitimate policy difference between that and fizzy drinks.

    Unfortunately, most of time tax policy is written to shape behavior, it is at the behest of the rich and powerful, and mostly benefits them. What is so bad about discouraging a very self-destructive behavior, improving the health of smokers and their families, and benefiting the less fortunate among us? It may not be the perfect solution, but I sure don't say any other solution proposed that comes close.

  • Ted (unverified)
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    Over time, an increase in price equals yeilds some decrease in demand. This has been seen with cigarette usage, but it's not immediate. I also don't think any addictive substance has a highly elastic demand curve. In the short and intermediate terms, cigarettes will cost more and the budget of the poor who smoke will be strained accordingly. What social workers tend to see with these types of laws is that the smokers continue to smoke, but that 84 cents a pack tax or whatever it amounts to gets shifted away from necessities like food which directly impact the child's health.

    Actually, I think this is a very Republicanesque measure. You're taxing the poor to make them pay for their own problems and making it look like you've done something positive. Reagan would have loved this bill.

    Do I think all children should have adequate health care? Yes!

    What's a better way? Well, a marginal capital gains tax increase for all cap gains over $100,000 in a year would be one way. An advertising fee percentage for all tobacco ads run in Oregon that is charged directly to the big tobacco companies would be another. We live in a controlled state where liquor is concerned, why not do the same with tobacco? A change of laws that would allow nurse practitioners to open their own child care clinics and source drugs from Canada, thus avoiding the private doctor and big drug cartel racket would be another way. Limited liability for hospitals treating state aid recipients would be another, since the marginal cost of business would go down commensurate with the risk. There are plenty of ways to address this problem that just require a little political courage and communication.

    I just had this conversation with a few other progressives (that doesn't necessarily mean Democrat) at lunch today. Everybody who was at that table is voting NO on 50.

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    AnOregonReader wrote: Why haven't we required deposits on bottled water? Not because of any legitimate policy difference between that and fizzy drinks.

    Actually, the 2007 legislature did exactly that. Starting in January, bottled water will also have a nickel deposit.

    Other than that little note, your comment was spot on.

  • (Show?)

    "What's a better way? Well, a marginal capital gains tax increase for all cap gains over $100,000 in a year would be one way."

    How much do people who have stocks and bonds cost the public health system whenever they buy one?

  • (Show?)

    I'm not going to read through the whole thread, but I will say I agree with this:

    "Dishonestly demonizing those who don't toe the party line is unbecoming of Blue Oregon. It's a tactic which led me to leave the GOP many years ago. It's also the kind of smug, self-righteous rhetoric which plays directly into the hand of those who say that the Dems and GOPers are more alike than unalike."

    I'm deeply disappointed that those on Blue Oregon would frame the Measure 50 debate they way they have. It seems like whether or not it's true, people are quick to jump on and demonize those who oppose Measure 50. Personally I have not paid attention nor read any of the anti-Measure 50 literature (I did see some of the ads on TV when I was in Oregon this past summer, but I didn't neither those or the pro-measure 50 ads swayed me.) I made up my mind on my own despite what some of the thugs on BO thing.

    The post to me seemed like a blanket statement meant toward ALL those who oppose Measure 50, even those of us who are regular readers.

    In several conversations I have been labled "a tobacco lobbyist" as have others. It's honestly funny how I could be one when A) I am an Oregonian currently living outside the country and B) When 100% of my income is coming from teaching.

    People really need to think before they open their mouths.

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    I have to admit I feel a little funny about financing a specific health benefit with a specific tax on tobacco. (But not funny enough to prevent me from voting for it.) On the other hand, I think tobacco should be taxed sufficiently to pay what it costs, so I guess that means $3 to $11 (I've heard that range) per pack. I like the idea of taxing the ads someone mentioned above, though I suspect there's a constitutional issue there. And it makes perfect sense to dedicate the funds to the public health budget.

    The other thing that should pay its way is alcohol. Listen to a police scanner for a while. Probably 3/4 of the police activity is directly alcohol-related. I'm pretty sure alcohol doesn't pay for 3/4 of our police expenses. As a confirmed happy beer-drinker I would hate to see prices go up, but like I said - i think it needs to pay for it's own damage.

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    David, nobody is calling Measure 50 opponents anything. Please read my clarification above. The hit on this post is targeted at the anonymous one-off comments coming here from IPs in Virginia -- not members of the BlueO community with legitimate disagreement.

  • tl (unverified)
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    As the originator of the "two pointed questions", I find the responses interesting.

    For those who answer "no" to question #1, I invite you to consider (as some have pointed out) the fact that you already pay for the health care of others. If you want to minimize the amount you pay for someone else, it actually makes sense to offer good, preventative health care for all, rather than the expensive nothing-but-emergency care coverage so many face. No one should, in my opinion, have to face the choice of having to wait until a condition reaches an emergency before being able to seek help. I wouldn't wish that on anyone, friend or foe, and certainly not my Oregon neighbors.

    As I acknowledged, M50 is not perfect, but I voted in favor of it. I would prefer that our general taxes would fund health care for all who need it, rather than having a portion of people pay for a portion of our citizens' needs. However, I know how difficult it would be to accomplish this and will support steps made toward health care for all.

  • (Show?)

    A way up the comments, Terri published an immigrant-bashing lie. Unfortunately, SB3 is written explicitly to exclude children whose U.S. citizenship cannot be proven.

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    Brian said:

    I'll bite. What goes through a persons mind with such limited income and then makes the decision to start a family?

    Oh, probably the same thing that goes through most peoples' minds. Jenni said before she was laid off they were making about $45,000/year. That's a few thousand dollars higher than the 2004 median household income in Oregon (and above the median for the nation as a whole). I don't know what planet Brian's living on, but apparently he thinks half the households in the country aren't worthy to have children.

    http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/income/income04/statemhi.html

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    You see, Darrel... In Brian's world, nobody ever gets laid off. Nobody ever goes back to school. Nobody ever gets divorced. Nobody ever has to leave home under the cover of darkness to get away from an abusive partner.

    Nobody ever makes a single dollar less this year than they did last year.

    It's really that simple. What's not to get?

  • billpenny (unverified)
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    To Kevin:

    I haven't researched this exact point but I'd be willing to bet that for underpriviledged (sic) kids in Oregon that the effects of exposure to any form of tobacco pale in comparison to the effects of obesity in terms of healthcare needs for those very kids.

    As an infant, I had very bad ear infections, one after the other. These caused prolonged periods of deafness, and one of my earliest memories was of receiving hearing tests at the Eugene Hearing and Speech Center with my apprehensive parents looking on, wondering if I would ever really have fully functioning hearing ability.

    My hearing did clear up, but after months and years of not being able to hear others, I was left a severe speech impediment. Ten years of therapy later, I could finally speak properly.

    I'm sure my parents would have appreciated if the costs for all this therapy would have been paid for by a tobacco tax, especially since we now realize that my ear infections were caused by my mother's secondhand smoke.

    Bill Penny

  • Jim Reemsnyder (unverified)
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    So I am a troll. Does this mean I can start calling measure 50 supporters names also. They are undemocratic, they believe in the tyranny of the majority, that teh only reason that this can be passed is that only 20% of the populace smoke. I do support universal health care, I just don't support making 20% pay for everyone else. If 50% + 1 supported murder, should that become legal. All you perfect humans can think you are doing something good, but you are abdicating your responsibilities. How about charging SUV drivers for health care, they do far more damage to the environment than some smokers.

  • BOHICA (unverified)
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    Brian asks: I'll bite. What goes through a persons mind with such limited income and then makes the decision to start a family?

    They already had the child. Learn to read.

    "There are lots of situations people can't control. Back in 2003, I lost my job just before our daughter turned 1. We went from a two income family making over $45,000 combined to making around $20,000."

    To paraphrase Commander Codpiece, "Is are trolls reading?"

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    Bill,

    I too had ear infections as a young child, although not nearly as bad as what you describe. None of my extended family has ever smoked except for my older brother who is two years older than me and that only lasted a year or so when he was a teenager. I was raised in a religious community that very overtly considered smoking a negative trait. My ear infections couldn't possibly have been caused by second-hand smoke because I was never exposed to any more of it than the general population would be when stepping outside of their homes.

    I'm not a medical professional and perhaps your ear infections were caused by second-hand smoke. But I do know that there are other explanations than second-hand smoke.

    At any rate... such anecdotal stories don't really address what I'd said.

  • No On 50 Voter (unverified)
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    I just want to point out that Jeff's latest enamorment with the OSU Econ professor mainly demonstrates he doesn't know when he is being fooled (I'll leave it to the Econ prof to do the right thing and speak up that he has inadvertently misled Jeff) for two reasons:

    1) The Federal matching funds that M50 would secure are also based on an increase in tobacco taxes. If SCHIP is not renewed those funds won't be available, and so M50 will provide private health insurance to far fewer children. If SCHIP is renewed, new state taxes on top of new federal taxes will result in a lower state revenues and therefore less matching funds. So the Econ prof demonstrated a decided lack of scholarship in not taking all relevant factors into account in his surprisingly sloppy analysis.

    2) The trick of picking out one number from a set of widely varying estimates is invalid. In the absence of confidence intervals for the estimates or other methodological justifications, any econometrician or statistician will tell you that there is little reason of the estimates is to be preferred over any other. Furthermore, in the absence of that informatioin, taking the sample mean or median does not yield any more meaningful estimates.

    To delve a bit further in this since I don't have time to debate people who don't understand these things or an Econ professor who evaded his first obligation as a professor to be fair to the facts: Elasticity is a random variable at a point in time under market conditions at that point in time. A sequence of elasticity values over time form a stochastic process that has to obey certain properties for the techniques of deriving an elasticity estimate from consumption patterns over time as a function of tax rates. Most notably, the stochastic process must be ergodic, and there is little reason that the elasticity of tobacco whose use is associated with social status and social stigma is ergodic. The job of the prof is to prove that it is, not assert it and then make handwaving arguments from that unjustified assertion.

    I haven't decided yet if the argument that he is generally opposed to populist arguments but will vote for this because he doesn't have to pay the tax is a Colbert-style slam on many of you here, or because he shares the elitist, classist attitudes of many of you here. (And I haven't been impressed with the publicly stated methodology or credentials of many of those who have produced the estimates used to justify M50.)

  • Terri (unverified)
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    Chris Lowe said:

    A way up the comments, Terri published an immigrant-bashing lie. Unfortunately, SB3 is written explicitly to exclude children whose U.S. citizenship cannot be proven.

    <hr/>

    A couple of points, Chris. The reference to native and illegal immigrant children was pointing out the inability to assess the inevitable growth of children going into the program. And this projection is important as it's funding is sustained by a group of citizens who will find it hard to smoke enough packs to pay for it with the increasing regulations emerging of "no smoking" areas. Rather ridiculous to plan an entire health care program around smokers, then have Portland designate even more "no smoking" outdoor areas. If you want this to work, you'd better keep the smokers smoking.

    The language in the measure states "legal residents", which may entail proof of mailing address to a home in Oregon, and not another state.

    To require proof of legal immigration status vs legal residency in the US prior to allowing the child to receive benefits is truly your charge of "immigrant bashing". If we are going to cover Oregon children, we need to cover all Oregon children. The child is not reponsible for their parents decisions.

    Thus your leap to conclusions about a bias I do not possess was premature, and incorrect.

  • Wilma (unverified)
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    What a great idea, addict a minority of people to a drug, blame all the ills of the world on them and then tax them until they bleed.

    I have a better idea. Let us tax the hell out of tobacco and use that money to find a 'cure' to addiction.

    The first idea has built in incentives to keep people addicted, the latter will reduce the numbers.

    There are those who say people must assume personal responsibilty for their choices; but many made those choices when they were very young and/or before the dangers of smoking were widely known.

    There are those who say that with a little will power the smoking addiction can be beat. I would like to show them some people I have known who continue to smoke through their cancer caused trachiotomy or even thogh they have only one lung. I have seen strong people cry to God because of their inability to quit smoking.

  • Carol (unverified)
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    I am a smoker addicted to cigarettes . I have tried numerous times to quit. Going to try in December again(hopefully, I will succeed).I hear folks saying "help the children" by voting yes on 50. However, it does not go just to kids health insurance. It is for rural clinics, it is for adults (OHP), and it is for prevention. I already know it will pass just like the 2002 tax that was supposely going to be for (OHP) passed. Do you really think that the tobacco companies are going to pay? When they were sued the cost came to me and other smokers. I have been assulted for smoking in a smoking section, I have been verbally abused numerous times for smoking in the smoking section, and now I am going to be punished (for being addicted) financially by measure 50. I can no longer just turn the other cheek. In 3 years or less you will once again tax us using "Its for the children" and if that doesn't work ( but it does, we know that) perhaps you can hold up a puppy or kitty to make your point. When you tax a minority just because you can, it truly is pathetic.

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    Kari,

    The truth is yes it is. This post encourages others on BO to take the same stance.

    I understand what you are saying about specific IP's being used from a location you have reason to believe are being used specifically by the anti measure 50 campaign. I'm not talking about that. I'm talking about those of us who ARE contributors to BO and have been insulted over and over again by others.

    And for the record I have essentially been called a tobacco lobbyist by more then one BO reader. If you really support an open debate, then you should admonish those that act this way (it doesn't matter whether we are taking about the M50 debate or US Senate race where things have gotten just as nasty.

    So Kari, I'm calling you on the carpet on this one. Do you really have the guts to tell people when to stop pulling this crap?

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    Do I think all children should have adequate health care? No, I think all Americans should have adequate health care. Unfortunately that's difficult to do in the US with our current F'd up policies and Leg for hire campaign finance system. So we sometimes have to do unpopular or uncomfortable or just plain tough things to help kids (and the other potential beneficiaries of M50) get what is needed to reduce SUFFERING when we can.. Here's an unpopular idea. You have kids? You get a tax break for each one? Put it in a "lock box" (to quote The Bard) so you'll have some cash for your kids treatments for athsma and other health problem. Donate it to the OHP so other Oregonians can have some access to health care. Or just file no exemtions and claim no kids, like a single person would. Kids are a fact of life: they need school, they need to see the doctor, they need day care, they need p[arental care for about 20 years before they start to pay back into the system. Ain't it a form of subsidy from all Oregon taxpayers with no such exemptions to support the needs of your kids? (and my kid is grown so I guess I'm in that group now.) The simplest way to address the cost of kids health care is to calculate the amount of tax money returned to families for child exemtion and put that amount into school and heath costs for kids. Oh, and I voted YES of 50 and 49. (Private to Carol; Plannig to quit in December? Quit today. You'll thank me in about a month when you no longer stink and make people sick. I'm pulling for you!)

  • Mike Campbell (unverified)
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    What an ugly argument. I am not paid by Big Tobacco companies, and I resent being forced by our state legislature to stand with Big Tobacco in anything. But that being said, our legislature failed to do its job right, and put us in this divisive mess. 1) Of course I support health care for children. As far as I'm concerned, the sooner we have a single-payer health care for all system, with the profit motive removed, the better. 2) I support higher taxes on cigarettes. In conjunction with public education and [oh yeah, we don't have one yet] workplace smoke bans, they have been proven to reduce smoking thereby saving lives. But what does one have to do with the other? Why propose to fund a program with growing costs from a source with declining tax revenues? Why put those costs on a small minority? And worst of all, why put this mess permanently in our state constitution? So as to the 2nd question, what alternative funding would I propose when M50 fails -- as it should and will -- then we citizens should lobby our elected representatives to fund this the right way, out of general tax revenues. Or will we be too busy depositing our kicker checks?

  • Ernie (unverified)
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    One thing I haven't seen discussed here is the about-face by many who post here. They attacked Measure 46 last year because it placed campaign contribution limits in the Oregon Constitution. Now, these same people are OK with tobacco taxes in there.

    Now here's the dig. Democratic legislators didn't have the 36 House votes to make M50 statutory. They would easily pick up more than enough seats in '08 with M46 limits in place. Oregon Republican legislators get larger contributions with far fewer contributors in numbers. That is a fact, with rare exceptions. With federal limits in place you see the leading Dem Presidential candidates out-raising their counterparts. Also, with M46 in the Constitution, we could have placed “statutory” limits on ballot measures to prevent what’s happening with tobacco and M50.

    In '08, we'll see tobacco and other special-interest “business” contributors giving big to Republicans so they don't drop below 25 State Representatives. The richest of these special interests (insurers, health care industry, etc) don’t want public-funded insurance, what many of you advocate. And business does not want to pay their fair share of taxes. Corporations paid 18% of state income taxes in 1975. It’s now 4%. And 80% of them pay only $10 annually. If corporations paid 18% now, we could fund universal coverage in Oregon.

    As said earlier, M50 is unfair. It targets about 20 percent of Oregonians who have a “legal” addiction. And since smokers and chewers have no organized lobby, why is it so shocking that tobacco companies are funding the anti-50 campaign. Don’t organizations left and right support or oppose candidates and ballot measures in the best interest of their base or customers? When users buy a tobacco product they should expect the supplier to represent their best interests.

    As far as Q1, it was a loaded question and beneath everyone’s intelligence. As far as answering Q2, tax all Oregonians.

  • Sally (unverified)
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    Jenni>Thanks for your considerate response. Disagreeing on a measure doesn't mean we should start acting like children.

    Poverty is NOT a moral failing. I wish people would get over this whole "blame the victim" mentality. It doesn't solve anything.

  • Carol (unverified)
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    Since smokers cause damage then let smoking be illegal. Let Alcohol be illegal(drunk drivers,Fetal Alcohol Syndrom/ Fetal Alcohol Effects, Violence,etc), Let woodstoves and wood burning fireplaces be illegal too (look outside on a cold fall/winter day),perfumes should be illegal too (folks are allergic to them), candles too(fires are caused by them). Also lets make over populating the world illegal. Having more than 2 children should be illegal (over population = strain on resources), snack food and soda that is unhealthy should be illegal too( bad for the both physical health and oral health ).If it is not healthy and bad for you or others let us make it illegal or at least tax the heck out of it. Hey my dog needs to go to the vet. Who can I tax to pay for that. Oh, that's right.. I am responsible for her( as it should be).

    Private to Glen: While I appreciate you rooting for me in quiting smoking in December. I cannot be thankful to you. As I said before I have tried many times to quit for me. Not because of taxes(I am addicted like I said),not because of what people think. Anyone that thinks it is alright to keep taxing one segment of the population because they can. I will never be thankful for. The only thing that this has truthfully cost me the most in is my faith in mankind and in our democracy. And that truly is a shame. Of course I voted NO on M50( of course I know it will pass, as taxes have always passed on smokers). I was concerned when I saw Planned Parenthood for M50. But then smokers should pay for abortions and contraceptives right?

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