Earlier today, we gave you a look at the AG and SOS campaign fundraising totals. Now, let's examine the race to control the legislature.
As the Associated Press reported yesterday:
Democrats are steaming into 2008. The political action committee run by the Oregon House Democrats, Future PAC, has nearly $300,000 to spend in the new year.
The political action committee controlled by the Republican House caucus, by contrast, has about $20,000 on hand, even though the PAC reported raising about $242,000 this year.
To be sure, individual candidates are also raising money for their upcoming campaigns. More from the AP:
As many as a dozen seats could be closely contested in the state House — and in most, but not all, Democratic contenders are off to a faster fundraising start than their Republican counterparts. ...
Brent Barton, a young lawyer hoping to challenge Republican Rep. Linda Flores of Clackamas has a staggering $71,000 to spend — Flores has just shy of $10,000 on hand.
That's not to say that there are no bright spots for the Republicans.
Democrats would love the symbolism of taking the seat of retiring House Minority Leader Wayne Scott, R-Canby, who has been the public face of GOP opposition in Salem for years.
But Clackamas County Commissioner Bill Kennemer, a Republican, is off to a clear fund-raising lead, with almost $20,000 to spend. The candidate the Democrats are talking up, Oregon City Chamber of Commerce President Toby Forsberg, has just $2,300 on hand.
But enough of that. Take a look at the charts and box scores for the House and Senate campaign committees. [Editor's note: We've added a methodology clarification below.]
|Senate Dems||Senate GOP||House Dems||House GOP|
|2007 starting balance||$47,883||$30,321||$104,542||$79,910|
|daily pace (last 90)||$829||$737||$3,338||$1,300|
|daily pace (last 30)||$1,131||$982||$4,440||$1,376|
[A few technical notes: We retrieved this data from ORESTAR on January 1, 2008. Because campaigns can choose to delay their reporting up to 30 days, some recent data isn't available yet. The "daily pace" is based on the last 30 or 90 days for which we do have data. Our chart starts in July 2007 because most campaigns didn't raise money during the legislative session. The "average contribution" is based on actual cash contributions since January 1, 2007 - while the "current total" includes in-kind contributions, sold items, interest income, and the starting balance. Also, some campaigns lump together under-$100 contributions into a single line item - so the number of contributions may be slightly understated and the average contribution slightly overstated. The official names of the committees here are Senate Democratic Leadership Fund, The Leadership Fund (Senate GOP), Future PAC (House Dems), and Promote Oregon Leadership PAC (House GOP).]
Update: A brief note on our methodology... These numbers include the initial cash-on-hand on January 1, 2007 plus all funds raised since then. We're attempting to measure campaign strength, and it matters whether you start at zero or $100k. The graph reflects this reality, and we've added a "starting balance" line to the box score for additional clarity.
2008 looks to be off to a great start for the Democrats. Discuss.