NRCC targets 23 Dems + one open seat (guess where?)
Capitol Hill newspaper Roll Call reports on an internal NRCC memo that describes which Congressional seats will be targeted in 2008 (no link, subscription only):
The National Republican Congressional Committee is targeting 23 Democratic incumbents, including several freshmen, and one open seat, according a memo obtained by Roll Call that was prepared by the NRCC for a March 5 briefing to political action committee officials.All of the seats included on the memo were those that President Bush either won or lost very narrowly in 2004. NRCC Chairman Tom Cole (Okla.) has made plain that he plans to target Democratic-held seats that voted for Bush in the last presidential election, particularly those represented by freshman Democrats.
Where's that one open seat? You guessed it:
Also included in the memo is Oregon’s 5th district, which is being vacated by retiring Rep. Darlene Hooley (D).
Now that Kevin Mannix is running for the GOP nod (joining Mike Erickson), it's more important than ever to support one of the Democratic candidates - or the nominee fund, if you're still undecided.
Donate to the nominee fund for OR-5.
Discuss.
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March 6, 2008 |
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Comments
Posted by: LT | Mar 6, 2008 9:52:29 PM
And they think they can defeat the veterans elected in 2006 because..............?
As I recall, Kevin may have been in the military, but I doubt Erickson was.
Posted by: backbeat12 | Mar 6, 2008 10:47:04 PM
Well isn't that special. Meanwhile is it correct that no Democrat has signed up to challenge NRCC audit committee chairman Walden? How can you chair an audit committee and not ensure, you know, AUDITS are conducted? We have nobody in all of Bend, Medford and beyond to challenge this guy? (and no, Kari, I don't think Novick should file for this election);)
http://tpmmuckraker.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/03/todays_must_read_290.php
Posted by: Kari Chisholm | Mar 6, 2008 10:47:44 PM
There is no reference to military service on Kevin's biography.
Posted by: verasoie | Mar 6, 2008 10:48:18 PM
I'm not familiar with a lot of those seats, but from the inclusion of the New England seats in there, this seems like a bad list for them.
There are 5 New England seats that I think are a waste of money for them (CT, 2 in NH, 2 in NY), and one TX seat (Ciro Rodriguez) that is overwhelmingly Latino--- another waste of money.
That being said, they're welcome to waste their money on "offense" when there's probably two or three dozen seats, at least, where they're going to be fighting for their lives.
Of this list, I see them winning 3-4 tops (FL, GA, TX-22 and, for good measure, an AZ seat), and losing at least 10 elsewhere, and likely far more if Obama is the nominee---- I'll take that math anyday.
Posted by: Jenni Simonis | Mar 6, 2008 11:01:48 PM
I have a hard time believing they can beat Lampson, especially if Shelley Sekula Gibbs wins the runoff for the Republican spot. She was so bad that even DeLay's staff couldn't handle her and they quit.
It may be one of the most conservative districts represented by a Dem, but Lampson isn't a liberal Dem - he's considered a conservative Dem (a label he has agreed with in the past). He's a perfect fit for the district. He's also very popular there. He may have only served one term in the district thus far, but he represented a portion of the district for several years before being cut out of his district.
I mean, how many tax assessor collectors do you know who are loved by the community they serve and re-elected multiple times with huge margins?
District 22 has also been hit hard by the housing market bust, bad economy, etc. and Republicans aren't too popular there.
Posted by: Nick Wirth | Mar 6, 2008 11:24:39 PM
MN-1 is another district where I think they are wasting their time, Tim Walz is a hard and smart campaigner who defeated a longtime incumbent in 2006. He's not going down this year.
Posted by: Larry McD | Mar 7, 2008 7:54:49 AM
I'm still pissed that our household responded to Congresswoman Hooley's early plea for help by sending her campaign $250. That's cash that we now don't have to donate to the person who really will be trying to hold that seat.
I was angry with Angie Paccione when she left her race in Colorado, but she was literally bruted out by the Democratic establishment so that Senator Ken Salazar's assistant could start climbing the ladder. Darlene Hooley's only excuse appears to be that she's tired... well, a lot of people are tired and they get their butts up every morning and do what they have to do.
Posted by: Glen HD28 | Mar 7, 2008 3:30:33 PM
Larry, Have you contacted Darlene's campaign and asked them if they will return or fwd the dough to another Dem for that seat? What was the response?
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Posted by: Kari Chisholm | Mar 6, 2008 9:49:46 PM
And, for the curious, here's the full list of 23 seats.
Arizona-5 Harry Mitchell
Arizona-8 Gabrielle Giffords
California-11 Jerry McNerney
Connecticut-5 Christopher Murphy
Florida-16 Tim Mahoney
Georgia-8 Jim Marshall
Illinois-8 Melissa Bean
Indiana-9 Baron Hill
Kansas-2 Nancy Boyda
Kansas-3 Dennis Moore
Kentucky-3 John Yarmuth
Minnesota-1 Tim Walz
New Hampshire-1 Carol Shea-Porter
New Hampshire-2 Paul Hodes
New York-20 Kirsten Gillibrand
New York-24 Michael Arcuri
Pennsylvania-4 Jason Altmire
Pennsylvania-8 Patrick Murphy
Pennsylvania-10 Christopher Carney
Pennsylvania-11 Paul Kanjorski
Texas-22 Nick Lampson
Texas-23 Ciro Rodriguez
Wisconsin-8 Steve Kagen