Further Sunday Night Observations
Jeff Alworth
In no particular order...
- 43% of registered Oregonian voters had voted as of Thursday.
- In order for Oregon Democrats to exceed the total number of Republican votes available in this election, they only need to return 74.4% of their ballots. As of Thursday, they had returned 49%.
- In the Pollster poll trend, Merkley leads Smith by six points.
- According to the somewhat outdated Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight house price index*, 20 states saw their housing prices drop from Q2 2007 to Q2 2008. Obama leads in polls in 18 of those states (including Oregon).
- Twenty-four million Americans have already voted (19.8% of the total from 2004).
- Barack Obama trails John McCain by less in Arizona (5.2%) than McCain trails Obama in Pennsylvania (7.7%).
- Obama has been endorsed by 240 newspapers; McCain 114. (In 2004, Kerry got 213 endorsements to Bush's 205.)
- Bonus observations from the internets: wife makes old, white, rich, Dubya-voting banker canvass for Obama and he finds hope.
That is all.
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Case-Shiller, preferred by economists, does not do a state-by-state breakdown.
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Nov 2, '08
Gallup gives final election prediction poll: Obama 55%- McCain 44%
http://www.gallup.com/poll/111703/Final-Presidential-Estimate-Obama-55-McCain-44.aspx
PPP has final battleground state polls this evening breaking strongly for Obama.
ABC/WaPo- 54-43 CBS/NY Times- 54-41
Looking good!
Nov 2, '08
Jeff, An update on Oregon numbers as of the Fri. evening. http://www.loadedorygun.net/showDiary.do?diaryId=1451
48% of ballots returned. Dems have returned 55% of theirs, Rs have returned 48% of theirs.
Nov 2, '08
Voting for Obama is easy. Getting Gordon gone was more of a challenge. I'm retaining my hope with great audacity we have Obama in the White House and Merkely in the Senate. It's going to take a while to get the US back on track.
Nov 3, '08
video to ipod converter
11:06 a.m.
Nov 3, '08
Early Monday update, fresh from the Director's office!
Bottom line--54% in so far, GOP right at the statewide average of 54%...but Dems at 61%, still holding onto a 7% gap. And because of the reg edge, Dems have turned in 49% of all ballots, Republicans just 32%. It could get ugly!
11:45 a.m.
Nov 3, '08
TJ, you rock. Good man--
1:13 p.m.
Nov 3, '08
Thanks Jeff--but the people who truly rock are Lindback and his elections team, for compiling and disseminating the info, busy as they are.
<h2>Afternoon update is promised!</h2>