Wow. This is a huge number for Ellen Rosenblum in the Attorney General race. From KATU, who sponsored the SurveyUSA poll:
Out of 432 respondents likely to vote and those who had already voted, Rosenblum, a retired judge, received 52 percent of the vote while Holton, a former federal prosecutor, received 27 percent.
SurveyUSA conducted the poll between May 7 and May 10 and it had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 percent.
The pollsters found that 21 percent of the respondents were still undecided.
Digging into the details, Rosenblum leads among both men and women, among all age groups, among all income groups, and in Portland and the rest of state. She leads among every ideological sector, except the 11% of Democrats who call themselves "very conservative" - among whom Holton leads 54-34.
Despite all the chatter here at BlueOregon, I can't imagine that medical marijuana has that much resonance as an issue. If these numbers hold up, to what do you attribute Rosenblum's strong showing against Holton?
Update, 9:25 a.m. The Oregonian's Jeff Mapes notes that the Rosenblum campaign released an internal poll a few days ago showing a 32-17 lead, and the Holton campaign released an internal showing him up 27-23. As for my question about the power of marijuana as a campaign argument, Mapes notes Rosenblum's support across nearly all demographics and suggests, "it's hard to see that as the determining factor in the race."