You might remember that a month ago, SurveyUSA did a poll on behalf of KATU-2 that included the Worst Poll Question of All Time™. That question was:
On Measure 85, which is about a corporate tax "kicker," are you ...? Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?
As I noted at the time, the question failed to tell poll respondents what Measure 85 would actually DO with the kicker - raise it? lower it? spend it all on margaritas at Senor Frog's in Cancun?
A month ago, that stupid question got 14% in favor, 21% opposed, and 65% undecided. And the tell was that Democrats and liberals had the lowest numbers in favor.
Well, in a poll conducted this week, they asked the question again. And again, they got stupid numbers: 15% in favor, 25% opposed, and 60% undecided.
But after defending the idiotic poll question a month ago, this time SurveyUSA asked a detailed follow-up that matches what voters will actually see on their ballot. Here's the question:
Let me read you a more detailed description of Measure 85: The title of the ballot measure says: Amends Constitution: Allocates corporate income/excise tax "kicker" refund to additionally fund K through 12 public education. A Yes vote allocates the corporate income and excise tax "kicker" refund to the General Fund to provide additional funding for K through 12 public education. A NO vote retains existing corporate income and excise tax "kicker" that requires refund to corporations when revenue exceeds estimated collections by two percent or more. Based on this description, will you vote yes? Or vote No? on Measure 85?
And this time, we got some real numbers: 53% in favor, 26% opposed, and 21% undecided. And as you might expect, liberals were 72-7 in favor, moderates 55-26 in favor, and conservatives just 36-41. (But hey! More than a third of self-identified conservatives are in favor of sending the corporate kicker to public schools!)
So, props to SurveyUSA for recognizing their stupidity the first time around AND for asking it two ways this time, giving us an object lesson in the critical importance of survey design. See the full SurveyUSA crosstabs here.
Oh, and in other news, President Obama leads Mitt Romney 49 to 42%. That's just 2% closer than a month ago. (And the poll was almost entirely taken before the second debate.)
Measure 80, the marijuana measure, is at 36% in favor and 43% opposed. Basically no change in a month.
And the two casino measures, 82 and 83, are going down in flames - with 28% and 26% in favor, respectively - which represents zero change from a month ago. And now we know why they pulled the plug.